Wed, Dec 4, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Colorado Avalanche 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 64% of the time.
28%
10%
54%
TOR winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:39 | 0.22 | 31.3% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:00 | 0.03 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.05 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.05 | 59.2% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.11 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.95 | 44.6% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.09 | 41.8% | +23.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:36 | 0.58 | 69.9% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.09 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.04 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.08 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.11 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.21 | 63.4% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:01 | 0.22 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.06 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:45 | 0.16 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:44 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:30 | 0.23 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 2.52 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 25:35 | 0.16 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.12 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.06 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:45 | 0.33 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 20:43 | 0.51 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.05 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.02 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.12 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.04 | 50.0% | +24.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:18 | 0.70 | 61.6% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.17 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:00 | 0.06 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.09 | 56.9% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.03 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:27 | 0.04 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:11 | 0.02 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:12 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.64 | +0.6 | 57:50 |