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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 4, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 64% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Colorado Avalanche

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Cale MakarD · #8011−1423:390.2231.3%+23.3
Samuel GirardD · #490000222:000.0362.7%0.0
Nikita ZadorovD · #16000+1121:450.0559.0%0.0
Nathan MacKinnonC · #29112+1220:520.0559.2%+26.7
Ryan GravesD · #27000+1220:010.1144.4%0.0
Joonas DonskoiRW · #72101+1419:190.9544.6%+3.4
Mikko RantanenRW · #960110118:490.0941.8%+23.3
Valeri NichushkinRW · #13101+1517:360.5869.9%+31.8
Nazem KadriC · #91000−1117:270.0941.2%0.0
J.T. CompherLW · #37000−1017:060.0447.1%0.0
Ian ColeD · #28000+1016:290.0856.2%0.0
Matt NietoLW · #830000015:500.1134.6%0.0
Matt CalvertLW · #11011+1215:170.2163.4%+3.4
Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #410000315:010.2263.4%0.0
Calle RosenD · #480000111:500.0655.0%0.0
Tyson JostC · #17000009:450.1632.6%0.0
T.J. TynanC · #36000007:440.0044.1%0.0
Logan O'ConnorRW · #25000027:300.2344.1%0.0
Philipp Grubauer#31W39381.9742.52+1.560:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000−2625:350.1638.6%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000−1122:530.1255.7%0.0
Tyson BarrieD · #94000−1222:090.0635.9%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34000−1521:450.3342.5%0.0
John TavaresC · #91000−1820:430.5145.9%0.0
Jake MuzzinD · #80000118:460.0568.2%0.0
Justin HollD · #30000018:100.0257.8%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−1218:090.1245.6%0.0
Cody CeciD · #83011+1117:310.0450.0%+24.6
Zach HymanLW · #111010617:180.7061.6%+24.6
Kasperi KapanenRW · #240000216:160.1756.5%0.0
Travis DermottD · #23000+1316:000.0653.3%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #650000015:510.0049.3%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #150110013:370.0956.9%+24.6
Andreas JohnssonLW · #180000012:000.0326.6%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #19000−118:270.0420.0%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #47000017:110.0220.0%0.0
Dmytro TimashovLW · #41000005:120.0020.0%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31L29272.9312.64+0.657:50