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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 4, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 64% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Donskoi–MacKinnon–RantanenCalvert–Nichushkin–BellemareKadri–Nieto–CompherTynan–Jost–O'ConnorKadri–MacKinnon–RantanenZadorov–GirardGraves–MakarCole–RosenGirard–MakarGraves–ZadorovCole–ZadorovZadorov–Rosen
Tavares–Marner–Mikheyev5:400.13–0.210:520.00–0.331:320.16–0.000:310.04–0.013:120.28–0.163:160.11–0.011:460.02–0.291:180.01–0.09
Johnsson–Nylander–Matthews1:390.00–0.023:100.13–0.102:070.06–0.401:360.07–0.005:080.10–0.201:070.16–0.151:270.01–0.031:060.00–0.10
Hyman–Kerfoot–Kapanen3:310.25–0.451:480.27–0.001:270.13–0.061:390.07–0.141:580.28–0.013:460.31–0.33
Spezza–Engvall–Timashov1:550.04–0.150:460.00–0.000:490.00–0.053:070.02–0.12
Nylander–Marner–Matthews1:350.07–0.001:030.17–0.000:310.09–0.000:430.07–0.001:400.17–0.00
Tavares–Hyman–Mikheyev1:170.08–0.000:330.01–0.002:060.09–0.00
Tavares–Hyman–Marner1:490.10–0.010:340.00–0.001:210.10–0.01
Tavares–Marner–Matthews0:310.02–0.000:390.02–0.00
Spezza–Kerfoot–Kapanen1:110.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Barrie–Rielly1:500.01–0.026:120.23–0.553:390.08–0.243:280.24–0.005:050.10–0.256:120.27–0.133:500.18–0.320:350.01–0.001:270.02–0.10
Muzzin–Holl9:360.21–0.251:020.02–0.000:470.00–0.000:310.04–0.014:360.14–0.154:430.12–0.011:120.02–0.002:370.09–0.10
Ceci–Dermott3:460.19–0.463:230.39–0.151:380.13–0.062:520.30–0.331:350.14–0.155:090.33–0.33
Muzzin–Dermott0:580.08–0.000:410.09–0.000:350.00–0.001:160.17–0.00
Holl–Ceci0:300.00–0.010:370.00–0.001:010.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FMikheyev FTavares FJohnsson FMatthews FNylander FKerfoot FHyman FKapanen FSpezza FTimashov FEngvall FHoll DMuzzin DRielly DBarrie DDermott DCeci DAndersen GMacKinnon FKadri FRantanen FCompher FDonskoi FNieto FNichushkin FCalvert FBellemare FJost FO'Connor FTynan FMakar DGraves DZadorov DGirard DCole DRosen DGrubauer G
TORCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2625:350:591:5353
Cale MakarCOL2523:390:571:4552
Mitch MarnerTOR2822:530:492:0153
Tyson BarrieTOR2322:090:581:5382
Samuel GirardCOL2722:000:491:3346
Auston MatthewsTOR2021:451:051:5142
Nikita ZadorovCOL2421:450:542:1916
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2320:520:541:4463
John TavaresTOR2320:430:542:2042
Ryan GravesCOL2520:010:482:0245
Joonas DonskoiCOL2219:190:531:4954
Mikko RantanenCOL2318:490:491:3363
Jake MuzzinTOR2418:460:471:2936
Justin HollTOR2218:100:501:5235
William NylanderTOR2118:090:521:2272
Valeri NichushkinCOL2117:360:501:1304
Cody CeciTOR2417:310:441:1651
Nazem KadriCOL2117:270:501:3242
Zach HymanTOR2117:180:491:3144
J.T. CompherCOL2017:060:511:2434
Ian ColeCOL1816:290:552:0004
Kasperi KapanenTOR2016:160:491:0541
Travis DermottTOR2316:000:421:1250
Ilya MikheyevTOR1915:510:501:1332
Matt NietoCOL1815:500:531:2422
Matt CalvertCOL1915:170:482:0205
Pierre-Edouard BellemareCOL1915:010:471:2705
Alexander KerfootTOR1713:370:481:1231
Andreas JohnssonTOR1212:001:001:3032
Calle RosenCOL1611:500:442:0003
Tyson JostCOL119:450:531:3711
Jason SpezzaTOR108:270:511:1621
T.J. TynanCOL107:440:461:0611
Logan O'ConnorCOL97:300:501:0611
Pierre EngvallTOR107:110:431:1821
Dmytro TimashovTOR75:120:451:1121