Sat, Dec 7, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 59% of the time.
32%
9%
11%
48%
DET winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.02 | 64.0% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:13 | 0.03 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.06 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.70 | 67.3% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.28 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.53 | 69.6% | +48.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 19:29 | 0.37 | 69.6% | +48.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.05 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.05 | 57.4% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:55 | 0.09 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 52.9% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 52.8% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.17 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.14 | 63.0% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.12 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:41 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:33 | 0.02 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:25 | 0.04 | 17.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.26 | −0.7 | 59:50 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:34 | 0.19 | 29.3% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:48 | 0.12 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 22:49 | 0.00 | 14.4% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 21:11 | 0.31 | 16.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.05 | 40.2% | +6.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 20:48 | 0.51 | 16.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:59 | 0.02 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:37 | 0.38 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.30 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.06 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.05 | 61.0% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.03 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.04 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.06 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:58 | 0.13 | 90.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:45 | 0.03 | 90.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.32 | +0.3 | 8:13 | |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 1.74 | −2.3 | 49:22 |