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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 12, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–PastrnakWagner–Nordstrom–KuralyKrejci–Ritchie–DeBruskCoyle–Heinen–BjorkKrejci–Pastrnak–DeBruskKrejci–Coyle–DeBruskKuraly–Heinen–BjorkKrug–McAvoyChara–CarloMoore–GrzelcykGrzelcyk–McAvoyChara–McAvoyKrug–CarloGrzelcyk–CarloMoore–Carlo
Palat–Kucherov–Point7:290.33–0.430:590.05–0.001:250.20–0.000:330.00–0.000:590.00–0.006:170.28–0.410:530.00–0.000:530.05–0.002:310.20–0.001:260.05–0.02
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli1:090.21–0.041:350.10–0.034:590.03–0.201:000.03–0.001:170.10–0.261:250.22–0.003:300.10–0.292:150.01–0.171:100.06–0.001:250.02–0.001:020.00–0.00
Maroon–Gourde–Paquette0:550.00–0.013:000.18–0.001:320.02–0.083:490.27–0.000:480.00–0.051:180.02–0.000:490.00–0.010:460.00–0.05
Verhaeghe–Joseph–Stephens0:460.06–0.001:060.02–0.002:560.02–0.070:500.00–0.000:520.02–0.002:190.07–0.070:390.00–0.001:100.06–0.000:500.00–0.00
Hedman–Rutta3:510.07–0.012:150.05–0.002:430.02–0.001:320.00–0.000:490.14–0.000:520.00–0.250:510.00–0.233:300.20–0.004:290.12–0.250:380.00–0.001:140.00–0.001:370.02–0.001:000.00–0.011:120.00–0.000:400.02–0.00
Shattenkirk–Sergachev0:320.19–0.001:300.05–0.003:280.03–0.204:300.27–0.150:310.07–0.000:560.25–0.001:250.04–0.014:230.08–0.293:130.24–0.081:490.02–0.000:370.05–0.04
McDonagh–Cernak3:490.27–0.383:330.20–0.030:480.00–0.001:390.02–0.031:350.10–0.004:410.27–0.403:070.15–0.030:380.05–0.000:360.00–0.001:200.02–0.00
Shattenkirk–McDonagh
Shattenkirk–Hedman0:340.03–0.020:370.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak0:300.09–0.000:350.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaquette FMaroon FGourde FPalat FPoint FKucherov FKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FVerhaeghe FJoseph FStephens FRutta DHedman DMcDonagh DCernak DShattenkirk DSergachev DVasilevskiy GWagner FNordstrom FKuraly FBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FRitchie FKrejci FDeBrusk FBjork FCoyle FHeinen FChara DMcAvoy DCarlo DKrug DGrzelcyk DMoore DRask G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS2927:540:582:5947
Victor HedmanTBL2423:190:582:0272
Torey KrugBOS2222:421:022:5442
Alex KillornTBL2721:140:471:5784
Anthony CirelliTBL2720:540:461:4562
David KrejciBOS2020:191:012:0045
David PastrnakBOS2020:131:012:3052
Patrice BergeronBOS2120:120:582:1943
Brad MarchandBOS2120:010:572:3734
Ryan McDonaghTBL2419:590:502:4032
Brandon CarloBOS2419:420:491:3608
Nikita KucherovTBL2219:250:531:3071
Mikhail SergachevTBL2019:110:582:0231
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2119:010:542:0230
Brayden PointTBL2118:590:541:4071
Erik CernakTBL2218:500:512:1833
Jake DeBruskBOS1918:240:581:5145
Ondrej PalatTBL2018:040:541:3051
Matt GrzelcykBOS2218:010:491:4214
Zdeno CharaBOS1917:200:551:3617
Steven StamkosTBL2417:070:431:57102
Jan RuttaTBL1917:050:541:3842
Charlie CoyleBOS1414:371:032:0213
Danton HeinenBOS1412:520:552:0221
Cedric PaquetteTBL1912:410:401:4521
Yanni GourdeTBL1712:170:431:0920
Sean KuralyBOS1611:580:451:2013
John MooreBOS1911:380:371:1902
Patrick MaroonTBL1511:000:441:3120
Joakim NordstromBOS1310:350:491:3613
Anders BjorkBOS1010:341:032:0211
Brett RitchieBOS1310:030:461:1614
Chris WagnerBOS139:250:431:3612
Mathieu JosephTBL119:010:491:2301
Carter VerhaegheTBL108:220:501:1401
Mitchell StephensTBL107:310:451:1401