Thu, Dec 12, 2019·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.
45%
8%
9%
38%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 24:53 | 0.38 | 49.0% | +44.7 |
 Tyson BarrieD · #94 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:39 | 0.12 | 43.5% | +19.5 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 23:05 | 0.72 | 43.9% | +44.7 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.36 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.04 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.35 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.09 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:46 | 0.33 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.05 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.13 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
 Cody CeciD · #83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.02 | 44.8% | +25.2 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11:44 | 0.20 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.00 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
 Nic PetanC · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:24 | 0.07 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Pontus AbergLW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:33 | 0.09 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.65 | −1.4 | 56:14 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mark GiordanoD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 25:39 | 0.12 | 55.6% | +20.7 |
 Travis HamonicD · #24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.09 | 62.0% | +36.1 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.00 | 68.9% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:31 | 0.07 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.17 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.06 | 49.5% | +27.5 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.21 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.01 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Sean MonahanC · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.25 | 52.3% | +36.1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:16 | 1.53 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Johnny GaudreauLW · #13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.29 | 52.9% | +42.9 |
 Michael StoneD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.07 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
 Derek RyanC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.02 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 |
 Tobias RiederLW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.05 | 51.2% | +24.1 |
 Mark JankowskiLW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.11 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
 Michael FrolikRW · #67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:13 | 0.11 | 51.2% | +24.1 |
 David Rittich#33 | W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.95 | +1.0 | 60:00 |