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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 12, 2019·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Hyman–MarnerNylander–Kapanen–MatthewsKerfoot–Engvall–MikheyevSpezza–Aberg–PetanNylander–Marner–MatthewsKerfoot–Petan–MikheyevBarrie–RiellyMuzzin–HollCeci–DermottBarrie–HollMuzzin–Dermott
Lindholm–Mangiapane–Tkachuk2:370.41–0.077:340.41–0.420:410.03–0.000:380.08–0.006:240.72–0.434:510.53–0.140:430.04–0.000:560.04–0.00
Backlund–Gaudreau–Monahan6:050.45–0.331:360.00–0.052:040.12–0.133:450.32–0.192:210.01–0.060:450.00–0.00
Frolik–Rieder–Jankowski3:050.15–0.241:590.12–0.081:030.06–0.000:400.05–0.002:200.15–0.092:350.00–0.262:570.22–0.00
Lucic–Ryan–Dube1:040.00–0.154:040.13–0.141:130.00–0.181:160.13–0.040:590.00–0.054:290.00–0.32
Lucic–Gaudreau–Ryan1:150.02–0.000:500.00–0.000:580.00–0.002:190.13–0.00
Backlund–Monahan–Dube1:160.01–0.150:340.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:400.01–0.13
Giordano–Andersson8:270.44–0.461:490.02–0.051:180.06–0.060:500.01–0.004:580.22–0.076:180.23–0.412:000.07–0.061:030.04–0.000:390.00–0.00
Hamonic–Hanifin2:270.46–0.295:150.18–0.261:150.06–0.081:240.06–0.004:580.17–0.364:200.51–0.272:130.13–0.00
Stone–Brodie1:270.06–0.064:520.20–0.071:440.00–0.182:360.24–0.101:110.00–0.055:590.05–0.18
Hamonic–Brodie1:140.15–0.090:450.00–0.001:390.15–0.090:480.00–0.000:510.11–0.00
Stone–Hanifin0:490.00–0.340:340.00–0.000:380.40–0.201:040.00–0.15
Giordano–Hamonic0:550.13–0.000:310.00–0.000:320.05–0.001:210.13–0.000:370.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBacklund FMonahan FDube FTkachuk FLindholm FMangiapane FRyan FGaudreau FLucic FRieder FFrolik FJankowski FAndersson DGiordano DHamonic DHanifin DBrodie DStone DRittich GHyman FMarner FTavares FKapanen FMatthews FNylander FEngvall FKerfoot FMikheyev FPetan FSpezza FAberg FRielly DBarrie DHoll DMuzzin DDermott DCeci DAndersen G
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mark GiordanoCGY2925:390:532:0544
Mitch MarnerTOR2424:531:022:3943
Tyson BarrieTOR2423:390:592:4431
John TavaresTOR2423:050:582:3954
Travis HamonicCGY2521:500:522:1813
Zach HymanTOR2621:470:501:5034
Morgan RiellyTOR2721:340:481:5031
Auston MatthewsTOR2321:090:553:1951
Elias LindholmCGY2720:310:461:2834
Jake MuzzinTOR2520:040:481:3434
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2619:310:451:4932
TJ BrodieCGY2219:050:521:3242
William NylanderTOR2318:460:492:4851
Mikael BacklundCGY2518:390:451:4053
Matthew TkachukCGY2417:540:451:2833
Noah HanifinCGY2517:430:431:1314
Justin HollTOR2217:200:471:3232
Kasperi KapanenTOR2117:080:491:2431
Travis DermottTOR2116:540:481:4733
Sean MonahanCGY2116:430:481:2841
Cody CeciTOR2116:280:471:4714
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2216:160:441:5423
Johnny GaudreauCGY2015:270:461:1641
Michael StoneCGY1714:560:532:2032
Derek RyanCGY2013:550:421:0622
Alexander KerfootTOR1713:380:481:5321
Milan LucicCGY1713:300:481:3121
Ilya MikheyevTOR1711:440:411:5121
Pierre EngvallTOR1711:090:391:1121
Dillon DubeCGY1411:020:471:0621
Tobias RiederCGY1110:390:581:4421
Mark JankowskiCGY1410:000:431:2423
Michael FrolikCGY109:130:551:2421
Jason SpezzaTOR128:310:431:0511
Nic PetanTOR128:240:421:2411
Pontus AbergTOR105:330:330:5711