Sat, Dec 21, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 55% of the time.
37%
8%
10%
45%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:11 | 0.10 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:44 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:25 | 0.16 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.37 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.40 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.02 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.13 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 17:14 | 0.44 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.06 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.50 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.15 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:22 | 0.19 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:04 | 0.21 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.07 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.20 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 2.35 | −1.7 | 53:08 | |
| – | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.42 | +0.4 | 6:52 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.10 | 47.2% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.11 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.01 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.04 | 74.1% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.39 | 55.9% | +13.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 17:50 | 0.41 | 51.2% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.07 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.65 | 75.5% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.25 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.25 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:34 | 0.15 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.12 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.07 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:45 | 0.13 | 66.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 3.01 | +2.0 | 59:37 |