Thu, Jan 2, 2020·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Montréal Canadiens 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.
41%
9%
12%
38%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:57 | 0.17 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.03 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.01 | 56.1% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.02 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.13 | 38.6% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.13 | 58.5% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.19 | 42.8% | +18.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.16 | 64.9% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.02 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.12 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.70 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.01 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.03 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:49 | 0.06 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:23 | 0.24 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.06 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:24 | 0.00 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 2.19 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:25 | 0.17 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.05 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20:47 | 0.15 | 44.3% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.17 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.22 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.17 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:13 | 0.22 | 90.7% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:32 | 0.33 | 48.6% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.02 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:00 | 0.16 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.05 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.14 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.11 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.04 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:18 | 0.19 | 85.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.01 | 73.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.09 | +0.1 | 58:07 |