Thu, Jan 30, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 79% of the time.
14%
71%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.14 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:37 | 0.02 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.08 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.04 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.36 | 71.1% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.39 | 68.5% | +20.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:05 | 0.48 | 71.1% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.15 | 71.1% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.13 | 66.0% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.85 | 76.2% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.12 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.01 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.04 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:36 | 0.06 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:33 | 0.35 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 1.58 | +0.6 | 59:55 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:54 | 0.21 | 26.2% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:31 | 0.02 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:34 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:30 | 0.13 | 24.3% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.07 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.16 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.03 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.09 | 32.7% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.02 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.15 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.09 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.08 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.15 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.18 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.08 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.13 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:47 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.54 | +0.5 | 58:55 |