Thu, Feb 6, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.
62%
9%
22%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28:27 | 0.27 | 17.0% | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 26:22 | 0.57 | 28.8% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:12 | 0.02 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.01 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 15.6% | +38.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.42 | 6.3% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 17:23 | 0.75 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 1.9% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.06 | 30.0% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 30.6% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.01 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.02 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 5.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 7.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:24 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.37 | +0.4 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:02 | 0.04 | 49.4% | +47.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 25:50 | 0.21 | 89.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:25 | 0.37 | 88.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.09 | 82.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:24 | 0.12 | 91.3% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:30 | 0.04 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:01 | 0.56 | 91.4% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.21 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:04 | 0.52 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.24 | 74.6% | +47.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 79.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.08 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.18 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.11 | 87.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.11 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:42 | 0.19 | 70.5% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:27 | 0.31 | 77.7% | +13.8 |
| O | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.13 | −0.9 | 63:25 |