Tue, Feb 11, 2020·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
41%
8%
43%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 28:46 | 0.33 | 56.0% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:23 | 0.04 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.04 | 47.5% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.47 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.86 | 47.8% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.16 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.16 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:13 | 0.28 | 57.8% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18:03 | 0.58 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.31 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:53 | 0.33 | 52.0% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.16 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.01 | 29.5% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.09 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.01 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:00 | 0.10 | 90.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 35 | 1 | .972 | 3.82 | +2.8 | 62:45 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29:07 | 0.10 | 49.1% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:16 | 0.67 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:02 | 0.29 | 46.2% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.61 | 64.5% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.09 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.02 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.06 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:07 | 0.57 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.07 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:26 | 0.37 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:24 | 0.70 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.05 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.00 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:05 | 0.11 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:08 | 0.10 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:19 | 0.01 | 21.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.91 | +1.9 | 62:45 |