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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 16, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 79% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:19Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 4:21Shot by Hyman, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 4:22Shot by Hyman, saved by Hutton
  5. P1 6:57Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 7:10Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 7:21Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 8:24Shot by Hyman, saved by Hutton
  9. P1 8:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 9:25Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 10:30Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 10:31Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 11:24Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 12:28Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 12:36Shot by Johansson, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 13:47Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 14:17Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 16:54Shot by Montour, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 17:46Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 17:47Shot by Vesey, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 17:48Shot by Johansson, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 17:49Shot by Johansson, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 19:12Shot by Barrie, saved by Hutton
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:32Goal by Larsson (Miller, Dahlin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Johansson, Larsson, Miller, Dahlin · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Dermott, Marchment

  27. P2 2:52Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 3:19Shot by Spezza, saved by Hutton
  29. P2 5:41Shot by Lazar, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 5:43Shot by Lazar, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 6:21Shot by Dermott, saved by Hutton
  32. P2 6:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  33. P2 7:10Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 8:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 8:18Shot by Hyman, saved by Hutton
  36. P2 9:42Goal by Sheary (Miller, Rodrigues)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Sheary, Olofsson, Rodrigues, Dahlin · TOR Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott, Liljegren

  37. P2 10:43Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 11:29Goal by Korshkov (Spezza, Clifford)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Jokiharju · TOR Spezza, Clifford, Barrie, Dermott, Korshkov

  39. P2 13:07Shot by Johansson, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 13:29Dermott: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Miller, Vesey, Lazar, Dahlin · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Dermott, Marchment

  41. P2 14:39Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  42. P2 17:49Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 18:37Muzzin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel · TOR Muzzin, Clifford, Holl, Matthews, Korshkov

  44. P2 19:07Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  45. P2 19:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen5v4
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:38Shot by Marner, saved by Hutton
  49. P3 1:15Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  50. P3 2:11Goal by Hyman (Muzzin, Marner)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Johansson, Larsson, Miller, Montour · TOR Muzzin, Hyman, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  51. P3 2:41Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  52. P3 3:07Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hutton
  53. P3 3:35Shot by Tavares, saved by Hutton
  54. P3 5:12Muzzin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Vesey, Ristolainen, Lazar, Montour · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Clifford, Korshkov, Liljegren

  55. P3 5:38Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  56. P3 6:06Goal by Eichel (Olofsson, Ristolainen)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · TOR Holl, Hyman, Dermott, Marner

  57. P3 6:55Goal by Okposo (Larsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Montour, Rodrigues · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Kerfoot, Sandin

  58. P3 7:37Goal by Vesey (Ristolainen)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Vesey, Ristolainen, Lazar, Montour · TOR Muzzin, Hyman, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  59. P3 7:58Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 8:04Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 11:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Hutton
  62. P3 14:50Shot by Clifford, saved by Hutton
  63. P3 15:26Shot by Lazar, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 16:40Shot by Hyman, saved by Hutton
  65. P3 16:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  66. P3 16:42Ristolainen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Montour · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews

  67. P3 18:01Shot by Spezza, saved by Hutton4v5
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final