Sun, Feb 16, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 79% of the time.
74%
14%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | Tavares–Nylander–Marchment | Spezza–Marchment–Korshkov | Spezza–Clifford–Korshkov | Clifford–Kapanen–Engvall | Kerfoot–Kapanen–Engvall | Kapanen–Engvall–Marchment | Muzzin–Holl | Barrie–Dermott | Barrie–Sandin | Liljegren–Sandin | Holl–Dermott | Muzzin–Liljegren | Dermott–Liljegren | Barrie–Holl | Barrie–Liljegren | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel | 6:030.11–0.40 | 2:450.08–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.24–0.00 | 6:140.12–0.01 | 2:060.00–0.39 | 1:270.01–0.00 | 0:500.24–0.40 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:540.11–0.00 | ||||
| Okposo–Larsson–Girgensons | 3:380.09–0.37 | 3:440.03–0.00 | 2:060.05–0.00 | 0:590.06–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:100.11–0.30 | 4:380.12–0.11 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.07 | 1:090.08–0.00 | ||||||
| Johansson–Vesey–Lazar | 3:370.33–0.18 | 1:250.15–0.01 | 1:050.05–0.00 | 1:110.62–0.00 | 1:290.27–0.00 | 1:280.03–0.02 | 2:200.28–0.00 | 2:310.67–0.01 | 1:160.15–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:180.35–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.18 | |||||
| Skinner–Sheary–Rodrigues | 1:400.17–0.05 | 1:340.00–0.16 | 1:120.03–0.00 | 1:430.09–0.01 | 0:360.13–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.02 | 1:320.16–0.05 | 1:210.17–0.06 | 1:440.09–0.08 | 1:220.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Johansson–Skinner–Sheary | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| McCabe–Jokiharju | 3:360.00–0.60 | 7:390.25–0.14 | 2:180.05–0.00 | 0:420.26–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.11 | 0:310.24–0.00 | 3:110.42–0.00 | 3:270.03–0.46 | 3:260.16–0.06 | 2:240.24–0.47 | 1:000.00–0.08 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.18 | 0:470.08–0.00 | |||
| Ristolainen–Montour | 9:210.86–0.41 | 0:570.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:150.03–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.03 | 1:290.27–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 8:050.53–0.35 | 5:010.24–0.11 | 1:250.32–0.00 | 0:540.11–0.00 | ||||||
| Miller–Dahlin | 2:300.17–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 0:560.27–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.07 | 2:010.09–0.01 | 1:390.75–0.00 | 0:490.10–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:270.00–0.02 | 3:301.03–0.22 | 1:400.17–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:480.09–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:290.10–0.01 | ||
| Miller–Montour | 1:290.00–0.09 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Miller–Jokiharju | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Ristolainen–Dahlin | 0:440.03–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Justin HollTOR | 25 | 25:20 | 1:01 | 2:28 | 1 | 11 |
 Tyson BarrieTOR | 24 | 24:13 | 1:01 | 2:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 26 | 23:17 | 0:54 | 1:46 | 2 | 4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 24 | 23:00 | 0:58 | 1:54 | 2 | 2 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 22 | 22:36 | 1:02 | 2:06 | 6 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 22:14 | 0:58 | 1:53 | 2 | 6 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 22 | 22:03 | 1:00 | 2:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 22 | 21:51 | 1:00 | 2:06 | 7 | 1 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 23 | 21:14 | 0:55 | 2:28 | 1 | 8 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 24 | 20:44 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 3 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 22 | 20:15 | 0:55 | 2:04 | 4 | 5 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 22 | 19:52 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 4 | 4 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 20 | 19:42 | 0:59 | 1:49 | 2 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 19:17 | 0:55 | 2:06 | 8 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 18:04 | 0:54 | 1:52 | 5 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 20 | 17:47 | 0:53 | 2:38 | 5 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 16:50 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 6 | 4 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 19 | 16:18 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 3 | 0 |
 Marcus JohanssonBUF | 19 | 15:12 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 18 | 14:57 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 14:39 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 1 | 5 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 19 | 14:35 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 17 | 13:36 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 |
 Curtis LazarBUF | 19 | 12:59 | 0:41 | 1:39 | 4 | 6 |
 Jimmy VeseyBUF | 16 | 12:32 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Mason MarchmentTOR | 13 | 12:14 | 0:56 | 1:15 | 1 | 3 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 16 | 12:07 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 0 | 3 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 15 | 12:02 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 0 | 4 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 14 | 11:59 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 3 | 0 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 14 | 11:41 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 16 | 11:25 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 13 | 10:15 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |
 Egor KorshkovTOR | 12 | 10:08 | 0:51 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 12 | 10:01 | 0:50 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 15 | 9:48 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |
 Kyle CliffordTOR | 13 | 8:19 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |