Sun, Feb 16, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 79% of the time.
74%
14%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:20 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:13 | 0.05 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.21 | 54.5% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:14 | 0.00 | 29.8% | +24.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:44 | 0.78 | 56.1% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:42 | 0.57 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.07 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.02 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.12 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.07 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 1.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.09 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.03 | 40.4% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.19 | 43.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:19 | 0.03 | 13.1% | +14.8 |
| L | 36 | 31 | 5 | .861 | 4.21 | −0.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 23:00 | 0.06 | 70.7% | +29.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:36 | 0.46 | 48.4% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.02 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.07 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:15 | 0.16 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:17 | 0.44 | 37.8% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.07 | 78.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.06 | 80.1% | +31.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:12 | 0.67 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.12 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.27 | 57.7% | +31.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.31 | 57.6% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.52 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.33 | 77.2% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 10:15 | 0.64 | 74.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 9:48 | 0.00 | 59.6% | +14.8 |
| W | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 2.25 | +0.2 | 60:00 |