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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 7, 2020·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 75% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Kucherov–PointMaroon–Gourde–PaquetteJohnson–Goodrow–StephensKillorn–Coleman–CirelliKillorn–Palat–PointColeman–Kucherov–CirelliKillorn–Maroon–CirelliKillorn–Kucherov–CirelliShattenkirk–SergachevCoburn–BogosianCoburn–ShattenkirkBogosian–SergachevCoburn–CernakCernak–SergachevShattenkirk–BogosianHedman–CernakCoburn–SergachevShattenkirk–Cernak
Bergeron–Marchand–Pastrnak1:160.00–0.151:180.04–0.002:210.07–0.001:320.10–0.000:460.00–0.151:010.02–0.001:000.04–0.000:340.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Wagner–Nordstrom–Lindholm1:310.05–0.001:210.00–0.000:460.00–0.091:570.05–0.090:510.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Coyle–Kuraly–DeBrusk2:090.01–0.000:570.05–0.001:360.16–0.001:020.01–0.000:320.05–0.000:560.00–0.00
Krejci–Ritchie–Kase0:470.04–0.001:110.00–0.001:330.00–0.111:030.04–0.00
Krejci–Ritchie–DeBrusk0:580.15–0.020:470.02–0.000:580.15–0.02
Coyle–Kuraly–Kase0:350.80–0.001:170.00–0.080:350.00–0.080:420.00–0.000:350.80–0.00
Krejci–Wagner–Nordstrom0:450.01–0.070:430.00–0.071:210.01–0.09
Coyle–Kase–DeBrusk1:010.00–0.111:040.00–0.13
Coyle–Pastrnak–DeBrusk0:310.00–0.040:310.00–0.04
Coyle–Ritchie–DeBrusk0:520.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Wagner–Nordstrom–Kuraly1:000.05–0.001:020.05–0.00
Moore–Krug0:320.01–0.002:540.09–0.151:540.04–0.001:310.00–0.000:330.00–0.002:350.05–0.151:290.04–0.002:260.05–0.001:150.00–0.001:520.06–0.00
Chara–McAvoy3:400.92–0.070:340.00–0.000:450.07–0.001:220.00–0.082:060.12–0.001:210.00–0.111:330.01–0.121:430.06–0.050:420.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:570.82–0.00
Grzelcyk–Lauzon0:480.00–0.001:350.00–0.101:380.00–0.061:160.00–0.091:050.00–0.060:410.00–0.112:280.09–0.110:360.00–0.001:320.00–0.190:440.00–0.001:140.00–0.021:080.00–0.06
Krug–McAvoy0:310.00–0.040:350.03–0.000:370.18–0.000:310.00–0.04
Grzelcyk–McAvoy0:370.00–0.000:420.02–0.000:390.00–0.00
Chara–Moore1:020.01–0.000:460.01–0.00
Moore–Lauzon1:000.05–0.001:020.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FDeBrusk FCoyle FKuraly FWagner FNordstrom FLindholm FRitchie FKase FKrejci FMoore DKrug DChara DMcAvoy DGrzelcyk DLauzon DRask GPaquette FMaroon FGourde FKillorn FColeman FCirelli FJohnson FGoodrow FStephens FPoint FPalat FKucherov FHedman DCernak DShattenkirk DSergachev DBogosian DCoburn DVasilevskiy G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL3128:200:552:0154
Charlie McAvoyBOS2625:450:591:5133
Torey KrugBOS2422:180:561:4440
Zach BogosianTBL2622:020:511:5321
Braydon CoburnTBL2821:240:461:1900
Nikita KucherovTBL2420:270:511:3920
Alex KillornTBL2520:040:481:2730
Erik CernakTBL2619:370:451:3411
Charlie CoyleBOS2819:200:411:4341
Brayden PointTBL2419:200:481:3420
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2419:190:481:5730
Jake DeBruskBOS2419:170:481:5020
David KrejciBOS2418:580:471:3712
Anthony CirelliTBL2518:410:451:4224
David PastrnakBOS2118:240:531:4360
John MooreBOS2418:090:451:3011
Matt GrzelcykBOS2518:050:431:1221
Brad MarchandBOS2317:000:441:2460
Zdeno CharaBOS1515:321:022:0411
Jeremy LauzonBOS2214:540:411:2414
Tyler JohnsonTBL1913:500:441:2813
Patrice BergeronBOS2113:420:391:1250
Blake ColemanTBL1713:280:481:2823
Ondrej PalatTBL2213:250:371:1140
Ondrej KaseBOS2013:070:392:1320
Sean KuralyBOS1512:480:511:4600
Yanni GourdeTBL2012:330:381:2122
Joakim NordstromBOS1611:370:441:3104
Nick RitchieBOS1711:310:411:1013
Chris WagnerBOS1510:290:421:3103
Cedric PaquetteTBL1610:250:391:4112
Mitchell StephensTBL1510:210:411:2703
Patrick MaroonTBL1610:120:381:1630
Par LindholmBOS139:000:421:2604
Barclay GoodrowTBL178:510:311:1304
Victor HedmanTBL74:360:391:1600