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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 8, 2020·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Detroit Red Wings

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Cernak, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 5:33Shot by Paquette, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 5:38Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 6:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 7:15Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 7:40Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 10:11Goal by Fabbri (Bertuzzi, Mantha)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Biega, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Fabbri · TBL Bogosian, Schenn, Palat, Gourde, Point

  9. P1 12:05Sergachev: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Larkin, Timashov, Hronek · TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Goodrow, Verhaeghe, Sergachev

  10. P1 13:09Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier5v4
  11. P1 13:42Shot by Schenn, saved by Bernier5v4
  12. P1 14:05Shot by Fabbri, saved by McElhinney5v4
  13. P1 14:43Shot by Nemeth, saved by McElhinney
  14. P1 14:59Shot by Mantha, saved by McElhinney
  15. P1 17:19Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney
  16. P1 18:07Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  17. P1 18:20Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by McElhinney
  18. P1 18:52Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bernier
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:35Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  22. P2 1:52Shot by Schenn, saved by Bernier
  23. P2 4:46Shot by Hronek, saved by McElhinney
  24. P2 6:18Shot by Hronek, saved by McElhinney
  25. P2 8:17Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bernier
  26. P2 9:29Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  27. P2 9:53Shot by Cernak, saved by Bernier
  28. P2 9:54Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 10:17Ericsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin · TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Verhaeghe, Cernak

  30. P2 11:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier4v5
  31. P2 11:11Goal by Point (Johnson, Kucherov)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Biega, Nemeth, Glendening, Larkin · TBL Killorn, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  32. P2 13:13Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  33. P2 14:24Shot by Nemeth, saved by McElhinney
  34. P2 14:57Goal by Verhaeghe, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Helm, Glendening, Fabbri, Hronek · TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Verhaeghe, Cernak

  35. P2 15:49Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 16:20Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 17:25Fabbri: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Biega, Glendening, Fabbri, Timashov · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak

  38. P2 17:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier4v5
  39. P2 19:25Shot by Gourde, saved by Bernier4v5
  40. P2 19:28Shot by Maroon, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 19:45Goal by Larkin (Mantha, Bertuzzi)+27 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin · TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Verhaeghe, Cernak

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:09Shot by Biega, saved by McElhinney
  45. P3 0:49Cirelli: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Biega, Nemeth, Glendening, Fabbri · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Kucherov, Cirelli, Sergachev

  46. P3 0:56Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney5v4
  47. P3 1:41Goal by Mantha (Larkin, Bertuzzi)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak

  48. P3 2:43Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  49. P3 3:05Shot by Ericsson, saved by McElhinney
  50. P3 4:13Shot by Cernak, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 4:24Goal by Bertuzzi (Mantha, Larkin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Daley, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Hronek · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli

  52. P3 4:37Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  53. P3 5:01Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 5:16Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  55. P3 5:55Goal by Point (Gourde)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Biega, Glendening, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Fabbri · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Gourde, Point, Cernak

  56. P3 7:39Shot by Mantha, saved by McElhinney
  57. P3 7:56Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Helm, Mantha, Larkin, Lindstrom · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Kucherov, Cirelli

  58. P3 10:47Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 10:53Shot by Point, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 11:18Shot by Schenn, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 11:19Goal by Maroon (Schenn, Gourde)+32 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Timashov, Hronek · TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette

  62. P3 12:44Bowey: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Lindstrom · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Verhaeghe, Cernak

  63. P3 13:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier4v5
  64. P3 14:11Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bernier4v5
  65. P3 14:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier4v5
  66. P3 15:52Shot by Timashov, saved by McElhinney
  67. P3 16:34Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 16:42Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 18:44Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 19:55Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 1:26Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier3v3
  74. OT 1:32Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier3v3
  75. OT 2:03Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney3v3
  76. OT 2:16Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney3v3
  77. OT 4:39Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier3v3
  78. OT 4:58Shot by Fabbri, saved by McElhinney3v3
  79. OT 5:00Period endother
  80. SO Period start
  81. SO Goal by Sergachev, unassistedother
  82. SO Shot by Gagner, saved by McElhinneyother
  83. SO Shot by Point, saved by Bernierother
  84. SO Goal by Larkin, unassistedother
  85. SO Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernierother
  86. SO Goal by Fabbri, unassistedother
  87. SO Period endother
  88. SO Final