Sun, Mar 8, 2020·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
34%
9%
50%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:13 | 0.07 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.34 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 8 | 21:30 | 0.45 | 66.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:21 | 0.15 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.15 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:10 | 0.43 | 58.2% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.17 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 20:53 | 1.14 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:06 | 0.19 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.00 | 66.9% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.01 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.10 | 63.9% | +46.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:30 | 0.20 | 59.6% | +31.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.46 | 82.7% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.15 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:19 | 0.01 | 22.1% | +25.5 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.46 | −0.5 | 64:54 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:21 | 0.14 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 23:39 | 0.57 | 44.1% | +64.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:01 | 0.65 | 29.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.09 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.13 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.55 | 59.7% | +78.6 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.44 | 63.4% | +78.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.36 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.02 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.02 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.04 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.06 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.18 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.08 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:15 | 0.11 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:04 | 0.02 | 68.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 4.03 | 0.0 | 64:19 |