Wed, May 5, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Dallas Stars 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 81% of the time.
75%
12%
TBL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.02 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.04 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.13 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.03 | 26.8% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.27 | 67.0% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.30 | 57.5% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.23 | 58.7% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.13 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.23 | 49.4% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.02 | 54.6% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.11 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:26 | 0.04 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.09 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 2.08 | −1.9 | 58:21 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.05 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.77 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 19:42 | 0.18 | 63.6% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.03 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.05 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.16 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.22 | 67.8% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.24 | 37.7% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 54.8% | +11.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.46 | 66.0% | +35.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.07 | 68.1% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.32 | 73.0% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.89 | 46.4% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.02 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 35.9% | +1.0 |
| W | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 1.66 | −0.3 | 60:00 |