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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 13, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Montréal Canadiens

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jeff PetryD · #26011+1123:120.0046.6%+43.7
Joel EdmundsonD · #44000+1022:430.0346.0%0.0
Shea WeberD · #6000−1222:260.1538.1%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #80000121:010.0740.0%0.0
Phillip DanaultC · #24011+1018:230.0041.7%+27.3
Tyler ToffoliC · #73112+1317:280.4244.0%+71.0
Alexander RomanovD · #27000+1216:470.0344.6%0.0
Josh AndersonRW · #170000116:300.0356.3%0.0
Joel ArmiaRW · #400000116:160.0443.9%0.0
Nick SuzukiC · #140000116:150.1147.6%0.0
Brendan GallagherRW · #11112+1515:020.4741.2%+71.0
Artturi LehkonenLW · #620000014:500.0041.0%0.0
Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #150000214:230.2140.6%0.0
Victor MeteD · #530000013:510.0063.4%0.0
Jonathan DrouinLW · #920000413:260.3752.7%0.0
Paul ByronLW · #410000112:200.0319.1%0.0
Corey PerryRW · #940000011:370.0024.9%0.0
Jake EvansC · #710000111:300.0644.5%0.0
Carey Price#31W22211.9552.76+1.860:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000−1225:270.0348.6%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #78000−1023:020.0049.8%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #340110522:260.6156.0%+13.8
Jake MuzzinD · #80000222:160.1569.5%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16101+1421:240.7467.7%+13.8
Justin HollD · #30000019:350.0368.3%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #110110119:130.2262.0%+13.8
John TavaresC · #910000417:410.3554.1%0.0
William NylanderRW · #880000116:170.2454.6%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #650000016:160.0044.7%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #150000113:560.1880.4%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #470000013:250.0074.1%0.0
Travis DermottD · #230000113:020.0450.2%0.0
Jimmy VeseyLW · #26000−1013:000.1136.9%0.0
Zach BogosianD · #220000012:430.0249.3%0.0
Nic PetanC · #61000−1111:270.0433.8%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #19000−1010:430.0143.1%0.0
Travis BoydC · #72000−109:390.0025.6%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31L25232.9202.040.058:28