Sat, Feb 13, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.
55%
8%
10%
27%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.00 | 46.6% | +43.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:43 | 0.03 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:26 | 0.15 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.07 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:23 | 0.00 | 41.7% | +27.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.42 | 44.0% | +71.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.03 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.03 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.04 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.11 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 15:02 | 0.47 | 41.2% | +71.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.21 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:26 | 0.37 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.03 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.06 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 2.76 | +1.8 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:27 | 0.03 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:02 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:26 | 0.61 | 56.0% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.15 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:24 | 0.74 | 67.7% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.03 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.22 | 62.0% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:41 | 0.35 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.24 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.18 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.04 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.11 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.02 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.04 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.01 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.04 | 0.0 | 58:28 |