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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 18, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hogberg
  3. P1 2:21Shot by Stepan, saved by Hutchinson
  4. P1 2:34Shot by Wolanin, saved by Hutchinson
  5. P1 3:16Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutchinson
  6. P1 4:03Brannstrom: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · OTT Dadonov, Gudbranson, Paul, White, Brannstrom

  7. P1 4:29Shot by Watson, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  8. P1 4:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Hogberg5v4
  9. P1 5:24Shot by Marner, saved by Hogberg5v4
  10. P1 7:26Shot by Dadonov, saved by Hutchinson
  11. P1 7:39Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Hutchinson
  12. P1 8:32Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hogberg
  13. P1 9:34Wolanin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Vesey, Engvall, Dermott, Mikheyev, Lehtonen · OTT Dadonov, Paul, White, Wolanin, Zub

  14. P1 10:29Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Thornton)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Boyd, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · OTT Gudbranson, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev

  15. P1 10:41Shot by Stepan, saved by Hutchinson
  16. P1 11:59Shot by White, saved by Hutchinson
  17. P1 14:50Shot by Boyd, saved by Murray
  18. P1 15:07Shot by Watson, saved by Hutchinson
  19. P1 15:40Shot by Nylander, saved by Murray
  20. P1 16:43Goal by Thornton (Muzzin, Marner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Muzzin, Holl, Marner, Matthews · OTT Tierney, Wolanin, Batherson, Stützle, Zub

  21. P1 17:12Shot by Stepan, saved by Hutchinson
  22. P1 17:51Goal by Stützle (Tierney)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyd, Petan, Dermott, Mikheyev, Lehtonen · OTT Reilly, Tierney, Zaitsev, Batherson, Stützle

  23. P1 17:57Shot by Watson, saved by Hutchinson
  24. P1 18:22Shot by Boyd, saved by Murray
  25. P1 19:37Goal by Matthews (Marner, Thornton)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · OTT Reilly, Tierney, Zaitsev, Batherson, Stützle

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:39Goal by Mikheyev (Nylander, Kerfoot)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Engvall, Mikheyev · OTT Stepan, Gudbranson, Brannstrom, Batherson, Stützle

  29. P2 2:53Shot by Boyd, saved by Murray
  30. P2 3:45Goal by Marner (Rielly, Matthews)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · OTT Watson, Peca, Reilly, Tierney, Zaitsev

  31. P2 5:21Dermott: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kerfoot, Nylander, Engvall, Dermott, Lehtonen · OTT Stepan, Wolanin, Batherson, Stützle, Zub

  32. P2 6:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray4v5
  33. P2 7:09Shot by Paul, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  34. P2 7:37Goal by Brown (Peca, Reilly)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Nylander, Engvall, Matthews · OTT Watson, Peca, Reilly, Brown, Zaitsev

  35. P2 9:28Brannstrom: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · OTT Stepan, Gudbranson, Paul, Brannstrom, Batherson

  36. P2 9:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray5v4
  37. P2 10:08Shot by Spezza, saved by Murray5v4
  38. P2 10:50Shot by Stepan, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  39. P2 10:58Shot by Spezza, saved by Murray5v4
  40. P2 11:00Goal by Nylander (Spezza, Matthews)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Lehtonen · OTT Reilly, Tierney, Brown, Zub

  41. P2 11:08Shot by White, saved by Hutchinson
  42. P2 12:09Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray
  43. P2 12:10Shot by Vesey, saved by Murray
  44. P2 12:21Shot by Lehtonen, saved by Murray
  45. P2 12:40Shot by Reilly, saved by Hutchinson
  46. P2 16:06Shot by Vesey, saved by Murray
  47. P2 16:17Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray
  48. P2 16:19Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray
  49. P2 17:38Shot by Peca, saved by Hutchinson
  50. P2 18:30Brodie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Nylander, Marner · OTT Dadonov, Gudbranson, Paul, White, Brannstrom

  51. P2 19:07Shot by Norris, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  52. P2 19:16Shot by Stützle, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  53. P2 19:47Shot by Paul, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  54. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:44Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Hutchinson
  57. P3 2:45Shot by Watson, saved by Hutchinson
  58. P3 3:49Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutchinson
  59. P3 4:53Shot by Stepan, saved by Hutchinson
  60. P3 5:05Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Murray
  61. P3 5:40Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Hutchinson
  62. P3 6:37Shot by Tierney, saved by Hutchinson
  63. P3 6:49Shot by Engvall, saved by Murray
  64. P3 7:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  65. P3 7:31Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  66. P3 7:52Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Hutchinson
  67. P3 9:03Shot by Wolanin, saved by Hutchinson
  68. P3 9:41Shot by Brodie, saved by Murray
  69. P3 11:07Shot by Stützle, saved by Hutchinson
  70. P3 11:11Goal by Batherson (Stützle, Stepan)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews, Lehtonen · OTT Stepan, Reilly, Zaitsev, Batherson, Stützle

  71. P3 11:53Shot by Brown, saved by Hutchinson
  72. P3 13:40Shot by Batherson, saved by Hutchinson
  73. P3 13:48Shot by Stützle, saved by Hutchinson
  74. P3 13:56Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Hutchinson
  75. P3 16:09Shot by Dadonov, saved by Hutchinson
  76. P3 16:23Shot by Batherson, saved by Hutchinson
  77. P3 16:53Goal by Tavares (Marner, Kerfoot)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Dermott, Marner · OTT Stepan, Reilly, Zaitsev, Batherson, Stützle

  78. P3 18:55Shot by Muzzin, saved by Murray
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final