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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 18, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Brown–Norris–TkachukDadonov–Paul–WhiteStepan–Batherson–StützleWatson–Peca–TierneyStepan–Watson–PecaTierney–Batherson–StützleBrown–Paul–WhiteWolanin–ZubReilly–ZaitsevGudbranson–BrannstromGudbranson–Zaitsev
Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander4:050.32–0.061:360.29–0.112:000.07–0.051:000.00–0.002:480.00–0.113:430.54–0.043:020.13–0.06
Vesey–Engvall–Mikheyev2:040.01–0.022:350.00–0.080:420.03–0.091:000.00–0.003:170.03–0.172:150.01–0.042:480.48–0.04
Thornton–Marner–Matthews1:580.00–0.142:100.06–0.000:370.00–0.001:300.26–0.000:580.00–0.084:100.24–0.002:320.26–0.221:410.00–0.00
Spezza–Boyd–Petan1:470.00–0.031:160.11–0.002:480.08–0.211:440.13–0.041:530.01–0.152:410.23–0.042:330.11–0.11
Tavares–Kerfoot–Marner0:510.06–0.041:040.07–0.070:580.00–0.000:320.07–0.070:460.06–0.04
Thornton–Nylander–Matthews0:510.00–0.110:360.00–0.110:340.00–0.00
Muzzin–Holl4:030.18–0.245:080.25–0.161:260.04–0.141:120.10–0.091:050.10–0.000:320.00–0.005:280.13–0.144:340.29–0.445:060.25–0.070:510.04–0.00
Dermott–Lehtonen3:050.01–0.072:270.06–0.091:500.07–0.152:300.00–0.581:430.03–0.041:070.00–0.090:440.00–0.085:300.08–0.384:380.08–0.474:410.54–0.37
Brodie–Rielly4:240.14–0.032:140.21–0.002:210.03–0.011:110.10–0.001:310.13–0.020:400.16–0.003:540.07–0.004:590.70–0.024:360.03–0.15
Brodie–Dermott
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FMatthews FThornton FNylander FKerfoot FTavares FVesey FEngvall FMikheyev FPetan FBoyd FSpezza FHoll DMuzzin DRielly DBrodie DDermott DLehtonen DHutchinson GTkachuk FNorris FBrown FPaul FWhite FDadonov FStützle FBatherson FTierney FWatson FStepan FPeca FZub DWolanin DZaitsev DReilly DBrannstrom DGudbranson DHogberg GMurray G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nikita ZaitsevOTT2522:190:541:3835
Jake MuzzinTOR2321:390:562:2214
Justin HollTOR2421:120:531:4815
Erik GudbransonOTT2521:050:512:1813
Morgan RiellyTOR2220:170:551:3525
Christian WolaninOTT2119:300:562:2620
Mitch MarnerTOR2018:560:572:2626
Artem ZubOTT2018:220:551:3011
Connor BrownOTT2218:090:501:2674
Mike ReillyOTT2317:500:471:2243
Mikko LehtonenTOR2217:470:491:4921
TJ BrodieTOR2317:380:461:3614
Nick PaulOTT2117:180:491:3441
Erik BrannstromOTT2617:180:401:1122
Travis DermottTOR2217:160:471:4612
Alexander KerfootTOR2317:140:451:3724
Auston MatthewsTOR1916:490:532:3716
John TavaresTOR2116:240:471:4433
Josh NorrisOTT2116:160:461:0362
Brady TkachukOTT2116:110:461:2262
William NylanderTOR2015:500:481:3123
Tim StützleOTT2115:320:441:5740
Joe ThorntonTOR1815:210:512:0715
Evgenii DadonovOTT2015:190:461:3831
Ilya MikheyevTOR1915:000:471:2001
Colin WhiteOTT2114:540:431:5041
Derek StepanOTT2314:430:381:0932
Jimmy VeseyTOR1814:180:481:4102
Austin WatsonOTT2014:160:431:3012
Pierre EngvallTOR1813:320:451:2601
Travis BoydTOR1613:230:501:2521
Drake BathersonOTT2112:510:370:5340
Chris TierneyOTT1712:200:441:2212
Jason SpezzaTOR1912:130:391:3234
Matthew PecaOTT1811:200:381:1310
Nic PetanTOR1511:110:451:0620