Thu, Feb 18, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
27%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Brown–Norris–Tkachuk | Dadonov–Paul–White | Stepan–Batherson–Stützle | Watson–Peca–Tierney | Stepan–Watson–Peca | Tierney–Batherson–Stützle | Brown–Paul–White | Wolanin–Zub | Reilly–Zaitsev | Gudbranson–Brannstrom | Gudbranson–Zaitsev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | 4:050.32–0.06 | 1:360.29–0.11 | 2:000.07–0.05 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 2:480.00–0.11 | 3:430.54–0.04 | 3:020.13–0.06 | ||||
| Vesey–Engvall–Mikheyev | 2:040.01–0.02 | 2:350.00–0.08 | 0:420.03–0.09 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:170.03–0.17 | 2:150.01–0.04 | 2:480.48–0.04 | ||||
| Thornton–Marner–Matthews | 1:580.00–0.14 | 2:100.06–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:300.26–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.08 | 4:100.24–0.00 | 2:320.26–0.22 | 1:410.00–0.00 | |||
| Spezza–Boyd–Petan | 1:470.00–0.03 | 1:160.11–0.00 | 2:480.08–0.21 | 1:440.13–0.04 | 1:530.01–0.15 | 2:410.23–0.04 | 2:330.11–0.11 | ||||
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Marner | 0:510.06–0.04 | 1:040.07–0.07 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:320.07–0.07 | 0:460.06–0.04 | ||||||
| Thornton–Nylander–Matthews | 0:510.00–0.11 | 0:360.00–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Muzzin–Holl | 4:030.18–0.24 | 5:080.25–0.16 | 1:260.04–0.14 | 1:120.10–0.09 | 1:050.10–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 5:280.13–0.14 | 4:340.29–0.44 | 5:060.25–0.07 | 0:510.04–0.00 | |
| Dermott–Lehtonen | 3:050.01–0.07 | 2:270.06–0.09 | 1:500.07–0.15 | 2:300.00–0.58 | 1:430.03–0.04 | 1:070.00–0.09 | 0:440.00–0.08 | 5:300.08–0.38 | 4:380.08–0.47 | 4:410.54–0.37 | |
| Brodie–Rielly | 4:240.14–0.03 | 2:140.21–0.00 | 2:210.03–0.01 | 1:110.10–0.00 | 1:310.13–0.02 | 0:400.16–0.00 | 3:540.07–0.00 | 4:590.70–0.02 | 4:360.03–0.15 | ||
| Brodie–Dermott |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 25 | 22:19 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 3 | 5 | |
| 23 | 21:39 | 0:56 | 2:22 | 1 | 4 | |
| 24 | 21:12 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 1 | 5 | |
| 25 | 21:05 | 0:51 | 2:18 | 1 | 3 | |
| 22 | 20:17 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 2 | 5 | |
| 21 | 19:30 | 0:56 | 2:26 | 2 | 0 | |
| 20 | 18:56 | 0:57 | 2:26 | 2 | 6 | |
| 20 | 18:22 | 0:55 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 | |
| 22 | 18:09 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 7 | 4 | |
| 23 | 17:50 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 17:47 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 2 | 1 | |
| 23 | 17:38 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 1 | 4 | |
| 21 | 17:18 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 4 | 1 | |
| 26 | 17:18 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 | |
| 22 | 17:16 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 1 | 2 | |
| 23 | 17:14 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 16:49 | 0:53 | 2:37 | 1 | 6 | |
| 21 | 16:24 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 16:16 | 0:46 | 1:03 | 6 | 2 | |
| 21 | 16:11 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 6 | 2 | |
| 20 | 15:50 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 | |
| 21 | 15:32 | 0:44 | 1:57 | 4 | 0 | |
| 18 | 15:21 | 0:51 | 2:07 | 1 | 5 | |
| 20 | 15:19 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 3 | 1 | |
| 19 | 15:00 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 14:54 | 0:43 | 1:50 | 4 | 1 | |
| 23 | 14:43 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 3 | 2 | |
| 18 | 14:18 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 | 14:16 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 | |
| 18 | 13:32 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 0 | 1 | |
| 16 | 13:23 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 12:51 | 0:37 | 0:53 | 4 | 0 | |
| 17 | 12:20 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 | |
| 19 | 12:13 | 0:39 | 1:32 | 3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 11:20 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 11:11 | 0:45 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |