Thu, Feb 18, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
27%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:19 | 0.12 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Erik GudbransonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.07 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Christian WolaninD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.06 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.03 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.15 | 44.2% | +3.1 |
 Mike ReillyD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.15 | 36.7% | +3.1 |
 Nick PaulLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.39 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Erik BrannstromD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.15 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.06 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.15 | 30.8% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 15:32 | 0.27 | 32.9% | +13.8 |
 Evgenii DadonovLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.05 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Colin WhiteC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.19 | 36.5% | 0.0 |
 Derek StepanC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 14:43 | 0.23 | 57.0% | +0.6 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:16 | 0.24 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 12:51 | 0.23 | 32.1% | +0.6 |
 Chris TierneyC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.16 | 64.3% | +13.2 |
 Matthew PecaC · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.20 | 38.0% | +3.1 |
 Marcus Hogberg#1 | – | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 0.66 | −0.3 | 12:00 |
 Matt Murray#30 | L | 26 | 20 | 6 | .769 | 3.18 | −2.8 | 48:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.04 | 48.4% | +13.3 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:12 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.11 | 88.6% | +17.7 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 3 | 18:56 | 0.17 | 57.2% | +30.5 |
 Mikko LehtonenD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.01 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.01 | 84.1% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:14 | 0.41 | 58.8% | +7.8 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 16:49 | 0.53 | 54.7% | +34.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.07 | 54.8% | +0.1 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.64 | 54.7% | +10.4 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.10 | 51.0% | +40.9 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:00 | 0.60 | 61.4% | +7.7 |
 Jimmy VeseyLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.48 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.06 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Travis BoydC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:23 | 0.31 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.25 | 52.1% | +2.8 |
 Nic PetanC · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.04 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
 Michael Hutchinson#30 | W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.89 | −0.1 | 60:00 |