Wed, Feb 24, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.
70%
17%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| McGinn–Aho–Svechnikov | Staal–Fast–Foegele | Niederreiter–Trocheck–Necas | Martinook–Paquette–Lorentz | Martinook–Aho–Necas | Fast–Trocheck–Svechnikov | Staal–Niederreiter–McGinn | Paquette–Foegele–Lorentz | Staal–McGinn–Foegele | Aho–Necas–Svechnikov | Niederreiter–Aho–Necas | Hamilton–Slavin | Skjei–Pesce | Gardiner–Bean | Gardiner–Pesce | Skjei–Bean | Pesce–Bean | Slavin–Pesce | Gardiner–Skjei | Gardiner–Slavin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palat–Coleman–Point | 6:130.39–0.12 | 1:050.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:510.08–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.06 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:310.06–0.00 | 7:180.26–0.12 | 1:100.16–0.02 | 2:360.15–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.10 | 0:450.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Goodrow–Gourde–Joseph | 0:550.00–0.00 | 6:480.22–0.10 | 1:370.51–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 5:140.00–0.43 | 3:270.09–0.00 | 0:500.39–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 1:190.15–0.10 | |||||||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Johnson | 1:010.10–0.00 | 5:350.22–0.06 | 0:550.09–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.15 | 0:470.18–0.00 | 3:100.00–0.15 | 4:030.20–0.00 | 1:400.22–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:320.18–0.00 | |||||||||
| Maroon–Colton–Volkov | 4:100.00–0.32 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 1:280.02–0.01 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 2:260.00–0.32 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 3:390.30–0.07 | 2:420.12–0.00 | 2:110.04–0.06 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 1:370.08–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.04 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 5:060.07–0.00 | 2:520.16–0.07 | 3:460.57–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 1:320.20–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Rutta | 1:300.00–0.00 | 2:320.18–0.00 | 2:270.02–0.32 | 1:360.00–0.15 | 0:580.18–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 4:290.00–0.18 | 3:070.02–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.31 | 0:370.00–0.10 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:570.18–0.00 | ||||||||
| Sergachev–Foote | 2:330.09–0.08 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 3:010.00–0.41 | 2:040.09–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 4:010.22–0.12 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 3:490.12–0.10 | 0:550.10–0.02 | 1:540.00–0.14 | ||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Foote | 0:470.07–0.00 | 1:010.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Foote | 0:400.17–0.00 | 0:350.10–0.00 | 0:440.10–0.00 | 0:330.17–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Sergachev | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sergachev–Rutta | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:440.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 25:34 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 7 | 2 |
 Dougie HamiltonCAR | 24 | 24:08 | 1:00 | 1:50 | 6 | 2 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 32 | 24:01 | 0:45 | 2:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 24 | 23:18 | 0:58 | 1:50 | 4 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 28 | 21:36 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 2 | 4 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 30 | 20:29 | 0:41 | 1:51 | 6 | 0 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 26 | 19:46 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 0 | 6 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 20 | 19:04 | 0:57 | 2:04 | 5 | 2 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 20 | 18:54 | 0:57 | 2:49 | 4 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 22 | 18:29 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 7 | 0 |
 Blake ColemanTBL | 22 | 18:18 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 2 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 19 | 18:03 | 0:57 | 1:44 | 2 | 3 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 19 | 17:57 | 0:57 | 1:29 | 1 | 4 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 22 | 17:50 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 1 | 2 |
 Barclay GoodrowTBL | 22 | 17:43 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 21 | 17:29 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Jake BeanCAR | 20 | 17:29 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 2 | 0 |
 Vincent TrocheckCAR | 18 | 17:19 | 0:58 | 2:29 | 4 | 5 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 18 | 17:03 | 0:57 | 1:44 | 2 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 19 | 16:56 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 4 | 2 |
 Jake GardinerCAR | 20 | 16:47 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 2 | 0 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 20 | 16:31 | 0:50 | 1:16 | 8 | 1 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 23 | 16:03 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 0 | 6 |
 Brock McGinnCAR | 15 | 16:01 | 1:04 | 2:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 21 | 15:34 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 5 | 3 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 17 | 13:55 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 6 | 1 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 17 | 13:33 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Nino NiederreiterCAR | 16 | 13:12 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 0 | 4 |
 Warren FoegeleCAR | 16 | 12:26 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 16 | 12:03 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 4 | 0 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 15 | 11:46 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Steven LorentzCAR | 14 | 11:31 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 0 | 2 |
 Cedric PaquetteCAR | 14 | 11:10 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 1 | 3 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 13 | 9:15 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 |
 Alexander VolkovTBL | 12 | 8:32 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 12 | 7:52 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 2 | 0 |