Mon, Feb 22, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
59%
8%
25%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:32 | 0.13 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:40 | 0.02 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 24:25 | 0.10 | 45.2% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:36 | 0.05 | 41.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:20 | 0.07 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:11 | 0.06 | 40.3% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.07 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18:46 | 0.68 | 17.7% | +19.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.32 | 45.2% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.22 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:07 | 0.77 | 39.4% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.16 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.14 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.01 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:24 | 0.03 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:46 | 0.01 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:17 | 0.12 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:16 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 34 | 0 | 1.000 | 4.04 | +4.0 | 59:39 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:35 | 0.23 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:41 | 0.26 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:12 | 0.34 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:56 | 0.90 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.21 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.03 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.02 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.12 | 89.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:10 | 0.05 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.06 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:36 | 0.40 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.31 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:13 | 0.11 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.17 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.59 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.03 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:51 | 0.21 | 71.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.29 | −0.7 | 57:52 |