Mon, Feb 22, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
59%
8%
25%
TOR winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lindholm–Mangiapane–Tkachuk | Lucic–Backlund–Dube | Gaudreau–Monahan–Bennett | Nordstrom–Leivo–Gawdin | Gaudreau–Monahan–Tkachuk | Tanev–Hanifin | Giordano–Andersson | Hanifin–Kylington | Giordano–Tanev | Andersson–Välimäki | Hanifin–Andersson | Tanev–Välimäki | Kylington–Välimäki | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Marner–Matthews | 2:220.00–0.08 | 1:420.29–0.10 | 1:130.03–0.13 | 2:340.03–0.02 | 2:170.28–0.19 | 0:570.02–0.10 | 0:430.06–0.07 | ||||||
| Kerfoot–Marner–Matthews | 2:370.10–0.02 | 0:540.14–0.00 | 1:350.07–0.02 | 2:180.03–0.00 | 0:330.14–0.00 | ||||||||
| Vesey–Engvall–Mikheyev | 0:550.26–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:250.03–0.06 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:150.24–0.06 | 0:360.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Kerfoot–Nylander–Barabanov | 2:310.02–0.00 | 1:080.03–0.00 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 1:080.03–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Barabanov | 1:280.05–0.01 | 1:320.03–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.02 | 2:150.04–0.04 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:520.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Spezza–Boyd–Petan | 0:470.17–0.00 | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:540.07–0.00 | 0:430.17–0.00 | 1:000.01–0.00 | 0:490.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Boyd–Petan–Nylander | 0:320.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Boyd–Petan–Barabanov | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Spezza–Engvall–Mikheyev | 0:570.18–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 3:450.10–0.08 | 1:580.29–0.00 | 1:290.03–0.00 | 4:270.10–0.01 | 3:110.32–0.15 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:420.27–0.00 | ||||||
| Bogosian–Lehtonen | 2:530.01–0.15 | 1:120.04–0.00 | 1:110.01–0.14 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 0:570.03–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Holl–Dermott | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.12 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.11 | 1:300.00–0.02 | 0:510.06–0.00 | |||||
| Holl–Rielly | 0:460.03–0.00 | 1:070.02–0.10 | 0:590.14–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:560.16–0.10 | 0:400.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Bogosian–Brodie | 1:110.26–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:030.29–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.11 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Dermott | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:510.03–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Brodie–Holl | 0:450.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.10 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Lehtonen | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Dermott–Lehtonen | 0:520.17–0.02 | 0:560.17–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Bogosian–Dermott | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Brodie–Lehtonen | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Holl–Lehtonen | 0:350.18–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Rielly | 0:420.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 22 | 27:35 | 1:15 | 2:08 | 7 | 3 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 28 | 27:32 | 0:59 | 2:43 | 4 | 12 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 21 | 26:41 | 1:16 | 2:35 | 6 | 4 |
 Chris TanevCGY | 32 | 26:40 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 2 | 10 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 35 | 24:25 | 0:42 | 1:41 | 5 | 6 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 18 | 24:12 | 1:21 | 2:53 | 5 | 1 |
 Mark GiordanoCGY | 32 | 23:36 | 0:44 | 2:01 | 1 | 9 |
 John TavaresTOR | 18 | 22:56 | 1:16 | 2:35 | 7 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 22:15 | 1:10 | 2:08 | 6 | 0 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 20 | 21:37 | 1:05 | 1:40 | 3 | 4 |
 Noah HanifinCGY | 27 | 21:20 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 6 |
 Johnny GaudreauCGY | 24 | 20:11 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 7 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 22 | 19:25 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 1 | 8 |
 Matthew TkachukCGY | 23 | 18:46 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 5 | 8 |
 Sean MonahanCGY | 23 | 18:25 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 7 | 1 |
 Justin HollTOR | 21 | 17:35 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 2 | 7 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 23 | 17:07 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 2 | 1 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 24 | 16:42 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 2 | 4 |
 Mikko LehtonenTOR | 19 | 15:10 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 5 | 0 |
 Zach BogosianTOR | 20 | 13:43 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 17 | 13:36 | 0:48 | 2:38 | 1 | 7 |
 Sam BennettCGY | 18 | 12:07 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 3 | 0 |
 Dillon DubeCGY | 17 | 11:55 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 17 | 11:48 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 |
 Milan LucicCGY | 18 | 11:39 | 0:39 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 14 | 11:20 | 0:49 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Alexander BarabanovTOR | 13 | 11:13 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 2 | 0 |
 Nic PetanTOR | 14 | 10:31 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Joakim NordstromCGY | 16 | 10:20 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 0 | 5 |
 Travis BoydTOR | 14 | 9:59 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 12 | 9:53 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Juuso VälimäkiCGY | 16 | 9:24 | 0:35 | 1:13 | 1 | 0 |
 Oliver KylingtonCGY | 11 | 7:46 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 0 | 0 |
 Jimmy VeseyTOR | 9 | 6:51 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Josh LeivoCGY | 6 | 3:17 | 0:33 | 0:46 | 0 | 0 |
 Glenn GawdinCGY | 6 | 2:16 | 0:23 | 0:45 | 0 | 0 |