Sun, Mar 7, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Ottawa Senators 4, Calgary Flames 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 77% of the time.
71%
17%
CGY winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28:08 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:47 | 0.02 | 24.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:08 | 0.00 | 52.7% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.30 | 28.1% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.73 | 43.5% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.04 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.01 | 27.0% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.47 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.02 | 53.9% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.02 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.07 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.22 | 9.3% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.14 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:43 | 0.18 | 34.0% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:21 | 0.02 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:19 | 0.00 | 6.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 4.07 | +1.1 | 65:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:12 | 0.45 | 87.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 24:48 | 0.00 | 35.2% | +36.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:06 | 0.21 | 45.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:43 | 0.20 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.35 | 35.9% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 0.21 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:43 | 0.02 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.27 | 48.3% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.46 | 49.2% | +36.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.17 | 76.3% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:58 | 0.48 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:13 | 0.36 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.07 | 74.1% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.03 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:46 | 0.49 | 93.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.23 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:50 | 0.07 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 2:14 | 0.00 | 79.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.23 | −0.8 | 65:00 |