Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 15, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Olivier, saved by McElhinney
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Tolvanen, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 2:56Maroon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Joseph, Sergachev, Foote, Volkov · NSH Sissons, Harpur, Trenin, Fabbro, Olivier

  5. P1 2:56Harpur: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Joseph, Sergachev, Foote, Volkov · NSH Sissons, Harpur, Trenin, Fabbro, Olivier

  6. P1 3:51Cernak: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Point, Cernak, Cirelli · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg

  7. P1 3:57Shot by Johansen, saved by McElhinney4v5
  8. P1 6:34Shot by Davies, saved by McElhinney
  9. P1 7:43Shot by Carrier, saved by McElhinney
  10. P1 7:52Shot by Point, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 8:09Shot by Coleman, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 8:16Shot by Rutta, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 8:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 8:47Shot by Grimaldi, saved by McElhinney
  15. P1 11:14Shot by Haula, saved by McElhinney
  16. P1 11:48Shot by Arvidsson, saved by McElhinney
  17. P1 12:16Shot by Forsberg, saved by McElhinney
  18. P1 12:44Shot by Palat, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 12:45Johansen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, Rutta · NSH Johansen, Forsberg, Benning, Davies, Tolvanen

  20. P1 13:42Shot by Sissons, saved by McElhinney5v4
  21. P1 14:50Shot by Cirelli, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 15:16Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 16:15Shot by Killorn, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 19:12Shot by Point, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 19:22Shot by Coleman, saved by Rinne
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:22Sissons: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Joseph, Sergachev, Foote, Volkov · NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Olivier

  29. P2 2:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne5v4
  30. P2 2:19Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne5v4
  31. P2 2:31Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 3:48Shot by Palat, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 3:58Goal by Tolvanen (Johansen, Jarnkrok)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, Rutta · NSH Jarnkrok, Johansen, Benning, Davies, Tolvanen

  34. P2 4:12Shot by Harpur, saved by McElhinney
  35. P2 5:39Shot by Volkov, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 7:07Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 7:30Gourde: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Cirelli, Rutta · NSH Johansen, Trenin, Fabbro, Davies, Olivier

  38. P2 8:59Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne4v5
  39. P2 9:14Goal by Arvidsson (Haula, Jarnkrok)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Sergachev · NSH Haula, Jarnkrok, Cousins, Arvidsson, Carrier

  40. P2 11:03Cousins: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Coleman, Joseph, Foote · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Benning, Davies, Tolvanen

  41. P2 11:46Goal by Jarnkrok (Ekholm, Rinne)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point · NSH Ekholm, Haula, Jarnkrok, Carrier

  42. P2 13:30Shot by Point, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 14:10Shot by Johansen, saved by McElhinney
  44. P2 14:21Shot by Arvidsson, saved by McElhinney
  45. P2 14:42Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by McElhinney
  46. P2 15:29Shot by Olivier, saved by McElhinney
  47. P2 15:47Shot by Ekholm, saved by McElhinney
  48. P2 16:30Shot by Joseph, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 17:20Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  50. P2 18:16Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 18:35Shot by Cernak, saved by Rinne
  52. P2 18:40Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:03Maroon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Joseph, Rutta, Volkov · NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Olivier

  56. P3 0:03Olivier: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Joseph, Rutta, Volkov · NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Olivier

  57. P3 0:48Shot by Fabbro, saved by McElhinney
  58. P3 1:20Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 1:30Shot by Ekholm, saved by McElhinney
  60. P3 3:03Shot by Sissons, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 3:41Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 7:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 8:13Shot by Palat, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 8:34Shot by Maroon, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 8:50Shot by Joseph, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 9:29Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 9:39Shot by Rutta, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 10:03Goal by Stamkos (Gourde, Killorn)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Gourde, Rutta · NSH Ekholm, Haula, Cousins, Grimaldi, Fabbro

  69. P3 10:52Shot by Goodrow, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 11:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 11:35Shot by Palat, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 11:55Shot by Maroon, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 12:18Shot by Trenin, saved by McElhinney
  74. P3 12:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by McElhinney
  75. P3 12:37Shot by Fabbro, saved by McElhinney
  76. P3 13:19Shot by Point, saved by Rinne
  77. P3 15:52Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  78. P3 17:21Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne6v5
  79. P3 19:40Goal by Ekholm (Fabbro, Jarnkrok)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev · NSH Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Granlund, Fabbro

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final