Mon, Mar 15, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Nashville Predators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
10%
37%
TBL winsNSH wins
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:41 | 0.74 | 19.5% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.02 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.04 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.17 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.08 | 49.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.30 | 40.3% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.02 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.20 | 40.6% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 11.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.30 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.14 | 49.4% | +45.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.01 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:49 | 0.32 | 50.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.03 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.20 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 2.85 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:27 | 0.28 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:20 | 0.04 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:08 | 0.17 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.22 | 60.7% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.15 | 49.5% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.06 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:27 | 0.35 | 56.8% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 18:23 | 0.59 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.02 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:57 | 0.38 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.09 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.09 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.11 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:56 | 0.12 | 97.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.01 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:14 | 0.09 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.08 | 70.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 56:45 |