Sat, Mar 20, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.
69%
17%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:55 | 0.01 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:11 | 0.04 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:59 | 0.05 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:48 | 0.07 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.17 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:22 | 0.27 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.17 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.18 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.18 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.25 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.15 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.02 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.01 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.20 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:21 | 0.24 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.00 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:59 | 0.01 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.09 | +1.1 | 56:35 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:27 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 25:04 | 0.05 | 56.5% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:14 | 0.15 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.45 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:54 | 0.01 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.02 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:00 | 0.73 | 72.2% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.55 | 46.0% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.05 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.11 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:06 | 0.33 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.60 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.22 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.15 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.11 | 85.8% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.09 | 57.8% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 31 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.05 | +2.1 | 60:00 |