Sat, Mar 27, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.
67%
8%
9%
15%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 26:58 | 0.38 | 54.3% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24:42 | 0.15 | 53.0% | +61.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:05 | 0.10 | 65.2% | +45.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.16 | 53.4% | +41.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.15 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.02 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.01 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.01 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.08 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.05 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.10 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:26 | 0.05 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:21 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.61 | −1.4 | 60:48 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26:10 | 0.22 | 60.3% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 24:31 | 0.48 | 63.1% | +71.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:28 | 0.06 | 59.2% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:57 | 0.02 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.01 | 59.3% | +42.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:29 | 0.18 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.10 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.25 | 71.7% | +55.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 15:04 | 0.59 | 70.8% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.02 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.33 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.04 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:26 | 0.14 | 46.6% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.14 | 78.3% | +55.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.03 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 1.27 | −1.7 | 60:54 |