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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 20, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 0, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Palat–PointColeman–Goodrow–GourdeKillorn–Johnson–JosephMaroon–Smith–VolkovStamkos–Johnson–PalatMaroon–Goodrow–GourdeGourde–Point–JosephMcDonagh–CernakHedman–RuttaHedman–SergachevSchenn–SergachevMcDonagh–SchennMcDonagh–RuttaHedman–CernakSergachev–RuttaCernak–Sergachev
Niederreiter–Trocheck–Necas1:310.00–0.291:300.04–0.006:330.34–0.420:300.00–0.000:360.00–0.002:130.06–0.432:230.16–0.182:130.26–0.292:590.25–0.091:300.06–0.000:470.04–0.00
Staal–Fast–Foegele1:040.03–0.005:480.00–0.481:000.27–0.000:360.00–0.004:090.03–0.341:590.27–0.001:250.00–0.120:570.00–0.000:410.00–0.010:360.03–0.00
McGinn–Aho–Svechnikov4:240.18–0.282:050.02–0.021:070.00–0.010:510.11–0.003:120.19–0.192:460.42–0.012:020.00–0.020:550.00–0.03
Martinook–Paquette–Lorentz0:370.00–0.105:230.36–0.250:400.00–0.000:570.02–0.002:090.04–0.250:560.00–0.001:220.07–0.010:380.00–0.000:330.00–0.100:490.23–0.00
Martinook–Foegele–Lorentz0:450.00–0.170:540.07–0.17
Trocheck–Paquette–Necas0:320.00–0.120:500.00–0.12
Niederreiter–Fast–Trocheck0:300.00–0.090:300.00–0.09
Hamilton–Slavin4:530.32–0.373:050.06–0.022:230.18–0.233:210.00–0.181:050.00–0.000:570.11–0.006:070.47–0.503:240.25–0.012:040.00–0.021:190.11–0.090:320.00–0.090:430.03–0.000:470.04–0.000:570.00–0.03
Skjei–Pesce2:020.00–0.045:000.00–0.484:500.36–0.100:310.02–0.000:470.11–0.004:270.00–0.394:070.49–0.022:170.26–0.133:260.14–0.031:160.00–0.000:510.00–0.01
Fleury–Bean1:100.00–0.291:330.00–0.001:470.06–0.364:160.34–0.251:460.02–0.292:540.02–0.432:240.00–0.280:390.06–0.001:010.06–0.000:390.00–0.190:520.23–0.00
Skjei–Slavin
Pesce–Bean0:370.00–0.120:500.00–0.12
Hamilton–Pesce
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FFoegele FFast FTrocheck FAho FSvechnikov FNiederreiter FNecas FMcGinn FMartinook FLorentz FPaquette FPesce DSkjei DHamilton DBean DSlavin DFleury DNedeljkovic GGoodrow FColeman FGourde FKillorn FPalat FPoint FStamkos FJoseph FJohnson FMaroon FSmith FVolkov FMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DHedman DSergachev DSchenn DVasilevskiy G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2726:440:591:4772
Brett PesceCAR2523:340:571:3514
Jaccob SlavinCAR2523:060:551:5114
Dougie HamiltonCAR2622:390:521:4734
Ryan McDonaghTBL2522:100:531:3523
Brady SkjeiCAR2522:060:532:0714
Mikhail SergachevTBL2621:030:491:4750
Yanni GourdeTBL2218:440:511:3115
Vincent TrocheckCAR1818:411:022:0723
Erik CernakTBL2318:360:491:3513
Martin NecasCAR1718:261:052:1802
Jan RuttaTBL2117:450:511:3633
Nino NiederreiterCAR1717:291:021:2502
Brayden PointTBL2017:240:521:56102
Ondrej PalatTBL2017:120:521:5681
Sebastian AhoCAR2116:430:481:2634
Steven StamkosTBL1916:400:531:5671
Blake ColemanTBL2215:440:431:3323
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2015:140:461:1244
Jesper FastCAR1814:590:501:3221
Alex KillornTBL2014:550:451:4132
Jordan StaalCAR2014:460:441:3633
Jake BeanCAR2014:170:431:1832
Patrick MaroonTBL1714:170:501:2151
Brock McGinnCAR1913:590:441:5122
Barclay GoodrowTBL2013:560:421:0713
Warren FoegeleCAR2013:530:421:3222
Mathieu JosephTBL1813:520:461:2941
Tyler JohnsonTBL1713:340:481:4130
Jordan MartinookCAR1813:030:441:0614
Steven LorentzCAR1712:100:431:0914
Luke SchennTBL1511:460:471:2800
Haydn FleuryCAR1711:410:411:2332
Gemel SmithTBL1611:380:441:0651
Alexander VolkovTBL1511:160:451:0841
Cedric PaquetteCAR1510:400:431:1213