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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 29, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Winnipeg Jets 5, Calgary Flames 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 73% of the time.

CGY winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Ehlers–ConnorWheeler–Stastny–DuboisLowry–Copp–AppletonThompson–Lewis–PerreaultThompson–Lowry–AppletonPoolman–MorrisseyDeMelo–StanleyForbort–PionkStanley–Pionk
Gaudreau–Ritchie–Monahan2:010.62–0.092:520.00–0.002:470.00–0.011:110.00–0.004:160.53–0.011:420.09–0.093:520.10–0.00
Backlund–Nordstrom–Bennett3:380.04–0.313:300.14–0.021:260.07–0.062:050.06–0.074:230.18–0.233:170.06–0.10
Lindholm–Mangiapane–Tkachuk1:300.00–0.050:500.03–0.112:410.00–0.111:470.14–0.005:000.16–0.220:310.00–0.001:160.01–0.00
Lucic–Leivo–Ryan4:260.23–0.050:420.00–0.001:180.00–0.001:370.07–0.033:590.08–0.031:130.08–0.000:340.00–0.03
Leivo–Lindholm–Tkachuk1:170.02–0.000:320.00–0.010:580.02–0.000:500.00–0.000:470.00–0.01
Lucic–Mangiapane–Ryan0:540.13–0.041:090.00–0.090:510.00–0.001:080.13–0.04
Backlund–Nordstrom–Leivo0:520.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Stone–Nesterov2:030.04–0.602:190.17–0.004:300.06–0.123:080.18–0.002:480.15–0.104:060.10–0.095:440.31–0.020:340.00–0.03
Tanev–Hanifin5:110.17–0.132:440.00–0.091:480.00–0.000:530.00–0.005:350.07–0.092:160.09–0.033:250.01–0.10
Giordano–Andersson1:350.08–0.003:420.03–0.342:180.08–0.002:100.00–0.094:590.11–0.113:310.14–0.321:510.00–0.00
Hanifin–Andersson0:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.021:180.03–0.00
Giordano–Stone0:500.00–0.120:500.00–0.010:320.00–0.000:360.00–0.120:490.00–0.000:390.00–0.01
Nesterov–Hanifin1:210.53–0.021:000.53–0.00
Nesterov–Andersson0:390.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Giordano–Tanev0:500.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGaudreau FMonahan FRitchie FRyan FLucic FMangiapane FTkachuk FLindholm FBacklund FNordstrom FBennett FLeivo FTanev DHanifin DAndersson DGiordano DStone DNesterov DMarkstrom GRittich GCopp FLowry FAppleton FThompson FLewis FDubois FStastny FWheeler FScheifele FConnor FEhlers FPerreault FPoolman DMorrissey DDeMelo DForbort DPionk DStanley DHellebuyck G
CGYWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mark GiordanoCGY3021:460:441:5354
Josh MorrisseyWPG2721:270:481:4324
Noah HanifinCGY2720:390:461:3731
Nikita NesterovCGY2419:570:501:3034
Tucker PoolmanWPG2519:530:481:3403
Sean MonahanCGY2219:420:542:1061
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2919:420:411:3631
Dylan DeMeloWPG2419:350:491:5435
Michael StoneCGY2519:160:461:2227
Derek ForbortWPG2319:110:502:0505
Neal PionkWPG2619:050:441:2214
Mark ScheifeleWPG1718:071:041:5420
Johnny GaudreauCGY2117:500:512:1060
Matthew TkachukCGY2217:310:481:5362
Andrew CoppWPG2216:550:461:3637
Logan StanleyWPG2116:550:481:3941
Elias LindholmCGY2316:060:421:1952
Adam LowryWPG2415:500:401:1036
Kyle ConnorWPG1615:480:591:4020
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1715:360:551:1210
Mikael BacklundCGY2215:250:421:0735
Chris TanevCGY2315:110:401:0732
Mason AppletonWPG1814:330:491:3632
Blake WheelerWPG1814:270:481:4041
Sam BennettCGY2014:190:431:3025
Nate ThompsonWPG2014:110:431:2414
Paul StastnyWPG1814:080:471:4031
Andrew MangiapaneCGY1913:400:431:0952
Joakim NordstromCGY2113:380:391:0126
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG1913:280:431:1031
Derek RyanCGY2013:160:401:1622
Milan LucicCGY1912:570:411:0741
Josh LeivoCGY1812:560:431:0812
Trevor LewisWPG1812:240:411:2404
Brett RitchieCGY1812:090:411:1740
Mathieu PerreaultWPG1510:390:431:0811