Tue, Apr 13, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.
39%
8%
10%
42%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mark GiordanoD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:05 | 0.07 | 49.2% | +47.2 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.02 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:29 | 0.10 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:37 | 0.10 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.23 | 56.6% | +16.8 |
 Johnny GaudreauLW · #13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.29 | 42.7% | +65.7 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18:15 | 0.63 | 42.4% | +65.7 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.00 | 50.4% | +18.5 |
 Joakim NordstromC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.12 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.10 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Juuso VälimäkiD · #6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.17 | 53.4% | +16.8 |
 Michael StoneD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.15 | 62.5% | 0.0 |
 Sean MonahanC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Derek RyanC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.07 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.28 | 50.1% | +16.8 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:21 | 0.17 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Josh LeivoLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:18 | 0.15 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Brett RitchieRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Markstrom#25 | W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.48 | +0.5 | 60:20 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.09 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:01 | 0.02 | 66.6% | +18.3 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:44 | 0.56 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:44 | 0.02 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.27 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.19 | 50.4% | +49.9 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:58 | 0.39 | 61.3% | +49.9 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 19:00 | 0.05 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 Alex GalchenyukC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:49 | 0.25 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.03 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.13 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.05 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:05 | 0.16 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.12 | 29.8% | +31.6 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.05 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:10 | 0.10 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:29 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 David Rittich#33 | O | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.63 | −0.4 | 60:36 |