Sat, May 1, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal
Ottawa Senators 2, Montréal Canadiens 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 77% of the time.
71%
17%
MTL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 30:16 | 0.16 | 43.2% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:52 | 0.10 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:56 | 0.00 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.28 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.16 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.11 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.26 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.06 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 33.9% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.05 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.18 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.24 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.28 | 40.4% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.06 | 55.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:58 | 0.25 | 48.6% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.06 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:14 | 0.20 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.06 | 66.3% | +15.5 |
| O | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 4.34 | +1.3 | 62:25 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:05 | 0.18 | 71.1% | +67.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:49 | 0.09 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:32 | 0.00 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.03 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.38 | 72.9% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.24 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17:56 | 0.76 | 69.4% | +50.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.43 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:45 | 0.69 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.11 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.01 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:06 | 0.35 | 30.9% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.31 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.09 | 27.1% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.12 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.02 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:41 | 0.43 | 29.2% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.07 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.51 | +0.5 | 62:10 |