Mon, May 3, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Montréal Canadiens 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
10%
41%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26:10 | 0.50 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:48 | 0.00 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:22 | 0.01 | 69.2% | +16.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:51 | 0.43 | 63.7% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.07 | 74.0% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.32 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.44 | 67.1% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.04 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.24 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.06 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.12 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 25.8% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.05 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.22 | 74.0% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.00 | 5.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.46 | −0.5 | 64:43 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 27:11 | 0.03 | 43.7% | +122.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.04 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:32 | 0.25 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.14 | 30.2% | +48.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.25 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.32 | 81.0% | +122.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.47 | 74.6% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.06 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.09 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.02 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.08 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:41 | 0.29 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.31 | 18.4% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:18 | 0.12 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.50 | +0.5 | 63:32 |