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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 16, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 64% of the time.

NSH winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Niederreiter–FastAho–Necas–KotkaniemiTrocheck–Teravainen–SvechnikovStepan–Martinook–LorentzTeravainen–Martinook–AhoStepan–Lorentz–KotkaniemiTrocheck–Necas–SvechnikovSlavin–BearSkjei–PesceCole–DeAngeloCole–Slavin
Duchene–Johansen–Forsberg3:590.16–0.052:350.25–0.041:190.05–0.052:130.04–0.094:540.16–0.244:300.25–0.041:220.07–0.05
Sissons–Trenin–Jeannot3:110.06–0.251:510.00–0.131:190.02–0.010:380.00–0.231:170.18–0.002:240.24–0.001:010.02–0.034:210.00–0.551:390.00–0.10
Granlund–Kunin–Tolvanen3:430.00–0.060:570.02–0.000:590.00–0.101:250.00–0.001:100.00–0.033:550.02–0.153:410.00–0.09
Cousins–Grimaldi–Glass0:400.03–0.001:020.00–0.131:570.27–0.001:100.00–0.071:560.31–0.002:590.00–0.141:110.00–0.06
Duchene–Granlund–Forsberg1:020.17–0.110:550.21–0.000:390.00–0.04
Josi–Fabbro3:330.40–0.131:540.00–0.132:300.02–0.101:230.12–0.010:340.18–0.000:350.00–0.006:470.55–0.002:390.17–0.032:300.00–0.30
Ekholm–Carrier1:170.00–0.051:300.03–0.001:150.05–0.051:470.04–0.000:420.00–0.071:130.04–0.053:320.24–0.071:140.05–0.050:530.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Myers0:490.00–0.000:300.22–0.020:360.01–0.001:040.00–0.221:290.00–0.070:380.01–0.002:450.00–0.031:090.00–0.28
Ekholm–Myers0:470.00–0.001:410.03–0.040:320.00–0.040:520.00–0.101:520.00–0.141:220.03–0.041:150.00–0.00
Josi–Carrier1:460.03–0.020:370.00–0.001:050.08–0.001:010.05–0.001:210.05–0.001:120.03–0.02
Josi–Myers1:120.00–0.091:150.00–0.090:380.00–0.010:360.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Fabbro0:540.00–0.100:390.00–0.131:010.13–0.001:020.13–0.000:520.00–0.13
Josi–Ekholm0:440.00–0.200:370.00–0.000:440.00–0.200:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FJohansen FDuchene FTolvanen FKunin FGranlund FSissons FTrenin FJeannot FGlass FCousins FGrimaldi FCarrier DJosi DEkholm DMyers DBorowiecki DFabbro DSaros GTrocheck FSvechnikov FTeravainen FNecas FAho FKotkaniemi FStaal FNiederreiter FFast FStepan FMartinook FLorentz FBear DSlavin DPesce DSkjei DCole DDeAngelo DAndersen G
NSHCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2927:300:572:1772
Jaccob SlavinCAR2924:150:501:2543
Brett PesceCAR2623:120:541:5835
Mattias EkholmNSH2422:470:572:3815
Filip ForsbergNSH2220:420:561:5692
Matt DucheneNSH2320:310:541:53112
Sebastian AhoCAR2420:080:502:3911
Brady SkjeiCAR2620:010:461:3635
Mikael GranlundNSH2619:480:461:4632
Ethan BearCAR2419:450:491:1532
Dante FabbroNSH2518:520:451:2663
Alexandre CarrierNSH2417:500:452:2625
Ryan JohansenNSH2417:430:441:5392
Jordan StaalCAR2517:420:421:1839
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2116:450:482:0963
Vincent TrocheckCAR2216:250:452:0965
Martin NecasCAR2316:200:431:4121
Luke KuninNSH2216:010:441:3121
Philippe MyersNSH2215:520:432:1643
Eeli TolvanenNSH1915:120:481:3111
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1915:100:482:0953
Tony DeAngeloCAR1614:560:562:0942
Derek StepanCAR1914:130:452:0516
Colton SissonsNSH1814:050:471:0322
Jesper FastCAR2013:570:421:2237
Nino NiederreiterCAR1913:430:431:0446
Ian ColeCAR1812:270:421:5824
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1612:090:461:1011
Tanner JeannotNSH1712:050:431:0931
Nick CousinsNSH1411:430:501:2322
Cody GlassNSH1511:230:461:0921
Yakov TreninNSH1411:090:481:0331
Jordan MartinookCAR1610:530:411:1512
Mark BorowieckiNSH1710:210:371:1231
Steven LorentzCAR149:590:431:2313
Rocco GrimaldiNSH139:190:431:1515