Sat, Oct 23, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 55% of the time.
36%
9%
8%
47%
TBL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 28:29 | 0.04 | 57.6% | +56.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 25:26 | 0.22 | 59.5% | +69.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:46 | 0.52 | 59.8% | +47.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 24:43 | 1.04 | 59.6% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:16 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:44 | 0.46 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:36 | 0.18 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:59 | 0.11 | 67.6% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.14 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.04 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 10:12 | 0.34 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:10 | 0.21 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 6:42 | 0.05 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:27 | 0.07 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.05 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 28:08 | 0.22 | 29.1% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:52 | 0.07 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:24 | 0.13 | 71.7% | +29.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.34 | 45.3% | +73.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 21:31 | 0.16 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 47.8% | +19.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:52 | 0.48 | 43.4% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.15 | 44.8% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.10 | 41.2% | +29.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.11 | 47.0% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.10 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.03 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 12:33 | 0.98 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.03 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.02 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.07 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:39 | 0.00 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:24 | 0.06 | 81.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.39 | +0.4 | 64:42 |