Sat, Oct 23, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 55% of the time.
36%
9%
8%
47%
TBL winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Landeskog–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Kadri–Burakovsky–Compher | Kadri–Compher–Jost | Helm–Jost–O'Connor | Helm–Megna–Burakovsky | Megna–Ranta–O'Connor | Helm–Megna–O'Connor | Compher–Jost–O'Connor | Helm–Maltsev–Ranta | Makar–Byram | Johnson–Girard | Johnson–Murray | Johnson–Byram | Murray–Girard | Girard–Makar | Johnson–Makar | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamkos–Palat–Point | 1:530.01–0.14 | 1:130.03–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.05 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.34 | 0:490.33–0.00 | 2:210.02–0.04 | 4:030.35–0.10 | 1:370.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.34 | 0:500.04–0.13 | 1:220.03–0.10 | |||
| Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli | 7:250.20–0.19 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 5:510.19–0.17 | 1:490.00–0.19 | 1:310.12–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Perry–Maroon–Colton | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:150.37–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.05 | 1:310.30–0.00 | 2:330.08–0.00 | 1:480.07–0.11 | ||||||
| Bellemare–Katchouk–Raddysh | 2:370.03–0.01 | 0:410.04–0.00 | 2:020.07–0.04 | 2:540.03–0.05 | 2:080.10–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 10:180.20–0.34 | 8:170.08–0.22 | 1:200.31–0.00 | 0:590.12–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.10 | 0:330.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Hedman–Rutta | 1:040.00–0.05 | 2:490.06–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 0:320.00–0.34 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.04 | 3:370.03–0.30 | 2:040.04–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.34 | ||||||
| Sustr–Sergachev | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.05 | 0:320.08–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:480.11–0.05 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 2:420.08–0.05 | 0:400.07–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:590.02–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.11 | |||||||||||||
| Sergachev–Rutta | 0:580.07–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:390.07–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Sustr | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:370.31–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:390.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Sergachev | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 0:510.04–0.00 | 0:460.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 34 | 28:29 | 0:50 | 2:23 | 7 | 4 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 35 | 28:08 | 0:48 | 2:12 | 6 | 2 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 29 | 25:26 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 7 | 3 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 28 | 24:46 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 6 | 4 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 29 | 24:43 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 6 | 3 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 32 | 23:52 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 5 | 2 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 33 | 23:16 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 4 | 8 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 28 | 22:24 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 2 | 7 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 33 | 21:53 | 0:40 | 1:39 | 7 | 7 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 29 | 21:31 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 4 | 6 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 28 | 21:01 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 4 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 27 | 20:52 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 8 | 1 |
 Nazem KadriCOL | 28 | 20:44 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 4 | 6 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 28 | 20:36 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 4 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 29 | 19:37 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 4 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramCOL | 23 | 18:59 | 0:50 | 2:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 24 | 17:50 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 7 | 1 |
 Erik JohnsonCOL | 27 | 17:39 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 1 | 9 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 26 | 17:27 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyson JostCOL | 29 | 16:34 | 0:34 | 1:07 | 1 | 8 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 21 | 15:03 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 2 | 7 |
 Ryan MurrayCOL | 20 | 14:33 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Andre BurakovskyCOL | 21 | 13:43 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 21 | 13:36 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 0 | 7 |
 Jack JohnsonCOL | 22 | 13:25 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 1 | 5 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 19 | 12:35 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 4 | 0 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 16 | 12:33 | 0:47 | 1:55 | 4 | 0 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 17 | 11:18 | 0:40 | 1:55 | 4 | 0 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 15 | 10:48 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 16 | 10:18 | 0:39 | 1:41 | 4 | 0 |
 Darren HelmCOL | 17 | 10:12 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Taylor RaddyshTBL | 13 | 8:39 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 3 | 0 |
 Boris KatchoukTBL | 11 | 7:24 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 3 | 0 |
 Jayson MegnaCOL | 10 | 7:10 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 0 | 1 |
 Mikhail MaltsevCOL | 7 | 6:42 | 0:57 | 1:26 | 2 | 0 |
 Sampo RantaCOL | 10 | 6:27 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 1 | 1 |