Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 30, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Detroit Red Wings

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 1:52Shot by Suter, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 2:19Shot by Bunting, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 2:20Shot by Bunting, saved by Greiss
  7. P1 4:18Shot by Kampf, saved by Greiss
  8. P1 5:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Greiss
  9. P1 6:13Shot by Liljegren, saved by Greiss
  10. P1 6:48Shot by Simmonds, saved by Greiss
  11. P1 6:54Shot by Simmonds, saved by Greiss
  12. P1 10:15Shot by Fabbri, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 10:57Shot by Fabbri, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 11:09Shot by Leddy, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 11:25Shot by Tavares, saved by Greiss
  16. P1 12:44Shot by Leddy, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 13:01Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 14:03Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 16:46Shot by Kase, saved by Greiss
  20. P1 16:50Shot by Muzzin, saved by Greiss
  21. P1 19:07Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 19:12Shot by Fabbri, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 19:23Shot by Kase, saved by Greiss
  24. P1 19:46Goal by Muzzin (Brodie, Tavares)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Marner · DET Gagner, DeKeyser, Larkin, Stephens, Seider

  25. P1 19:56Shot by Engvall, saved by Greiss
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:35Shot by Veleno, saved by Mrazek
  29. P2 2:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Greiss
  30. P2 2:17Shot by Bunting, saved by Greiss
  31. P2 2:34Shot by Leddy, saved by Mrazek
  32. P2 3:00Shot by Simmonds, saved by Greiss
  33. P2 3:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 4:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Greiss
  35. P2 5:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 6:01Shot by Dermott, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 6:49Shot by Veleno, saved by Mrazek
  38. P2 6:49Tavares: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Dermott, Marner, Liljegren · DET Gagner, Oesterle, Hronek, Rasmussen, Veleno

  39. P2 8:19Goal by Zadina (Seider, Gagner)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Kerfoot, Engvall · DET Gagner, Larkin, Zadina, Seider, Raymond

  40. P2 8:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Greiss
  41. P2 9:24Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 9:59Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Greiss
  43. P2 10:30Shot by Seider, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 10:49Shot by Kampf, saved by Greiss
  45. P2 12:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Greiss
  46. P2 12:47Shot by Spezza, saved by Greiss
  47. P2 13:18Shot by Simmonds, saved by Greiss
  48. P2 14:24Shot by Seider, saved by Mrazek
  49. P2 15:26Shot by Kase, saved by Greiss
  50. P2 17:02Shot by Marner, saved by Greiss
  51. P2 18:01Rasmussen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Ritchie, Liljegren, Sandin · DET Staal, Namestnikov, Oesterle, Rasmussen, Veleno

  52. P2 19:42Goal by Bunting (Spezza, Ritchie)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Ritchie, Bunting, Engvall, Sandin · DET Staal, Gagner, Stephens, Seider

  53. P2 19:54Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Greiss
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:17Goal by Kerfoot (Tavares, Muzzin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Marner · DET Leddy, Rowney, Hronek, Suter, Zadina

  57. P3 1:36Goal by Veleno (Rasmussen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Dermott, Matthews · DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Rasmussen, Veleno, Seider

  58. P3 3:55Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 4:28Brodie: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews · DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Rasmussen, Veleno, Seider

  60. P3 5:06Shot by Fabbri, saved by Mrazek4v5
  61. P3 6:29Shot by Zadina, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 6:44Shot by Nylander, saved by Greiss
  63. P3 7:47Goal by Tavares (Kerfoot, Rielly)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Dermott, Marner · DET Staal, Gagner, Oesterle, Stephens, Smith

  64. P3 10:11Goal by Namestnikov (Veleno, Oesterle)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Dermott · DET Staal, Namestnikov, Oesterle, Rasmussen, Veleno

  65. P3 11:29Shot by Oesterle, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 13:56Shot by Seider, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 14:05Shot by Kase, saved by Greiss
  68. P3 14:26Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 14:46Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 15:23Shot by Raymond, saved by Mrazek
  71. P3 17:13Shot by Simmonds, saved by Greiss
  72. P3 17:19Shot by Muzzin, saved by Greiss
  73. P3 17:36Shot by Kase, saved by Greiss
  74. P3 17:55Goal by Marner, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, Liljegren · DET Leddy, Oesterle, Larkin, Fabbri, Raymond

  75. P3 19:04Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek5v6
  76. P3 19:31Goal by Hronek (Raymond, Zadina)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Marner, Kampf · DET Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina, Seider, Raymond

  77. P3 19:47Fabbri: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Kerfoot, Marner, Kampf · DET Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina, Seider, Raymond

  78. P3 19:59Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Mrazek5v4
  79. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  80. P3 0:00Final