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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 30, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Larkin–Fabbri–RaymondNamestnikov–Rasmussen–VelenoGagner–Rowney–StephensRowney–Suter–ZadinaSuter–Veleno–ZadinaSmith–Suter–ZadinaGagner–Namestnikov–RasmussenGagner–Stephens–SmithRowney–Stephens–SmithNamestnikov–Suter–ZadinaNamestnikov–Fabbri–RasmussenLeddy–HronekDeKeyser–SeiderStaal–OesterleOesterle–HronekStaal–SeiderLeddy–SeiderDeKeyser–Hronek
Tavares–Kerfoot–Marner2:560.05–0.021:190.00–0.032:140.04–0.000:480.10–0.000:530.14–0.000:350.05–0.007:030.33–0.023:580.15–0.020:410.14–0.00
Nylander–Bunting–Matthews4:330.06–0.341:240.12–0.080:450.11–0.000:360.37–0.040:480.00–0.001:100.17–0.122:180.49–0.154:390.29–0.092:100.00–0.120:400.37–0.04
Engvall–Kase–Kampf3:030.13–0.060:390.00–0.000:350.00–0.032:000.06–0.150:340.04–0.020:400.00–0.001:030.16–0.001:400.00–0.046:110.18–0.211:050.00–0.00
Spezza–Simmonds–Ritchie2:390.16–0.001:480.11–0.010:540.00–0.003:070.18–0.011:300.00–0.172:080.09–0.030:400.00–0.00
Muzzin–Brodie3:280.17–0.301:490.22–0.001:260.04–0.010:350.00–0.000:540.05–0.151:040.10–0.000:520.04–0.020:500.00–0.000:320.00–0.004:110.36–0.015:020.28–0.054:300.19–0.190:350.00–0.00
Rielly–Dermott4:390.06–0.181:280.07–0.212:190.11–0.000:560.01–0.000:390.01–0.000:500.17–0.004:350.41–0.153:330.06–0.092:430.06–0.130:560.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:450.01–0.02
Liljegren–Sandin1:020.12–0.001:350.00–0.010:380.00–0.001:400.00–0.031:250.49–0.004:520.13–0.001:230.00–0.003:110.14–0.030:450.37–0.00
Brodie–Rielly0:400.00–0.200:460.00–0.000:390.00–0.020:490.00–0.00
Muzzin–Liljegren1:060.00–0.000:410.11–0.001:060.00–0.000:410.11–0.00
Muzzin–Rielly0:300.00–0.031:150.00–0.03
Rielly–Liljegren
Rielly–Sandin0:450.00–0.020:400.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKerfoot FMarner FTavares FKase FEngvall FKampf FBunting FNylander FMatthews FSimmonds FSpezza FRitchie FMuzzin DBrodie DRielly DDermott DSandin DLiljegren DMrazek GRasmussen FGagner FNamestnikov FFabbri FLarkin FRaymond FSuter FZadina FVeleno FStephens FSmith FRowney FLeddy DHronek DSeider DDeKeyser DStaal DOesterle DGreiss G
TORDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2824:270:521:3642
Jake MuzzinTOR3024:240:491:4136
Filip HronekDET2523:390:571:5210
Moritz SeiderDET2722:270:501:5215
Dylan LarkinDET2121:471:021:5910
Nick LeddyDET2320:490:542:2010
TJ BrodieTOR3020:330:411:3025
Robby FabbriDET2119:380:561:5410
Mitch MarnerTOR2519:340:471:1931
Lucas RaymondDET2118:260:531:5910
Danny DeKeyserDET2717:380:391:0316
Filip ZadinaDET2017:330:531:3810
Alexander KerfootTOR2517:300:421:1210
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2317:190:451:2603
Jordan OesterleDET2317:180:451:3831
John TavaresTOR2417:050:431:2431
David KampfTOR2316:540:441:5115
Travis DermottTOR1916:240:521:2112
Auston MatthewsTOR2016:220:491:1942
Marc StaalDET2215:550:431:3820
Vladislav NamestnikovDET2315:490:411:2022
Rasmus SandinTOR2015:160:461:3011
Michael BuntingTOR1915:090:481:1722
Pierre EngvallTOR2115:080:431:2124
William NylanderTOR1914:560:471:1032
Michael RasmussenDET2114:550:431:2432
Mitchell StephensDET2014:150:431:3435
Pius SuterDET1814:130:471:3610
Ondrej KaseTOR2114:060:401:1722
Sam GagnerDET1813:240:452:2934
Joseph VelenoDET2012:280:371:1832
Carter RowneyDET1811:460:391:0431
Jason SpezzaTOR1611:310:431:1112
Nick RitchieTOR1410:160:441:0612
Wayne SimmondsTOR139:360:441:0711
Givani SmithDET137:340:351:0120