Sat, Oct 30, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.
65%
8%
19%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Filip HronekD · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:39 | 0.04 | 15.9% | +2.4 |
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:27 | 0.02 | 50.9% | +22.7 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:47 | 0.49 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick LeddyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.01 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
 Robby FabbriC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:38 | 0.45 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.02 | 64.3% | +2.4 |
 Danny DeKeyserD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.13 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
 Filip ZadinaRW · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.11 | 18.5% | +25.1 |
 Jordan OesterleD · #82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.06 | 52.8% | +13.1 |
 Marc StaalD · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.02 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #92 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.13 | 36.3% | +13.1 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.13 | 38.2% | +14.2 |
 Mitchell StephensC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 7.5% | 0.0 |
 Pius SuterC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.04 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 Sam GagnerC · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 13:24 | 0.03 | 15.4% | +22.7 |
 Joseph VelenoC · #90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 12:28 | 0.13 | 22.3% | +27.3 |
 Carter RowneyC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 5.7% | 0.0 |
 Givani SmithRW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:34 | 0.15 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Thomas Greiss#29 | L | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 3.26 | −1.7 | 58:32 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:27 | 0.05 | 51.8% | +14.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:24 | 0.07 | 64.5% | +36.5 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.09 | 60.6% | +22.2 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.10 | 87.4% | +7.2 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.26 | 89.0% | +28.3 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.12 | 88.5% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.14 | 77.8% | +50.5 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.04 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.50 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.09 | 89.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 15:09 | 0.84 | 65.8% | +24.7 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.15 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.15 | 63.6% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej KaseRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:06 | 0.26 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.00 | 66.2% | +24.7 |
 Nick RitchieLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 69.3% | +24.7 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9:36 | 0.40 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Petr Mrazek#35 | W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 1.94 | −2.1 | 60:00 |