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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 1, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Washington Capitals 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–WilsonMantha–Sprong–McMichaelHagelin–Eller–HathawaySheary–Leason–ProtasEller–Mantha–ShearyHagelin–Hathaway–McMichaelSheary–Leason–McMichaelEller–Mantha–SprongKuznetsov–Wilson–ManthaOvechkin–Sheary–McMichaelOrlov–JensenCarlson–FehérvárySchultz–van RiemsdykSchultz–OrlovJensen–van RiemsdykCarlson–van Riemsdyk
Killorn–Point–Cirelli8:310.08–0.240:550.00–0.041:130.00–0.180:380.00–0.004:200.00–0.225:020.11–0.092:230.08–0.140:430.03–0.00
Perry–Maroon–Colton0:490.00–0.221:200.31–0.072:180.22–0.091:550.17–0.031:000.18–0.000:330.03–0.003:410.17–0.111:240.00–0.313:160.48–0.000:530.18–0.00
Stamkos–Palat–Joseph0:350.00–0.001:420.00–0.171:490.00–0.000:340.00–0.041:380.00–0.001:250.00–0.041:370.00–0.170:450.00–0.00
Bellemare–Raddysh–Barré-Boulet0:310.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:440.00–0.131:210.02–0.130:390.00–0.00
Bellemare–Joseph–Raddysh0:380.04–0.000:430.00–0.030:380.04–0.00
Palat–Point–Cirelli1:070.05–0.100:410.05–0.10
Stamkos–Palat–Barré-Boulet1:080.00–0.081:080.00–0.08
McDonagh–Cernak6:220.14–0.130:530.00–0.040:560.00–0.140:380.04–0.001:300.00–0.044:330.00–0.151:550.24–0.021:270.10–0.100:460.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev0:540.00–0.001:260.00–0.172:200.00–0.240:580.00–0.001:110.03–0.004:020.00–0.250:390.00–0.002:160.03–0.170:410.03–0.00
Hedman–Sustr0:440.00–0.091:210.00–0.071:080.00–0.080:470.00–0.002:370.00–0.111:460.00–0.13
Hedman–Foote0:410.00–0.001:030.31–0.000:360.18–0.000:350.00–0.001:550.33–0.000:390.18–0.00
Sergachev–Foote0:370.22–0.000:300.00–0.121:400.30–0.120:550.02–0.00
Hedman–Cernak1:510.00–0.200:310.00–0.001:020.00–0.110:380.00–0.09
McDonagh–Foote0:500.00–0.030:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:070.12–0.03
Sustr–Sergachev0:560.00–0.220:390.00–0.001:110.02–0.22
McDonagh–Sustr0:330.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev0:510.11–0.03
McDonagh–Sergachev0:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FPoint FCirelli FBarré-Boulet FRaddysh FBellemare FJoseph FPalat FStamkos FPerry FMaroon FColton FMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DSergachev DFoote DSustr DVasilevskiy GOvechkin FWilson FKuznetsov FEller FHathaway FHagelin FLeason FSprong FMcMichael FMantha FProtas FSheary FFehérváry DCarlson DJensen DOrlov DSchultz Dvan Riemsdyk DVanecek G
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2925:230:531:5362
Ryan McDonaghTBL2924:550:522:0218
John CarlsonWSH2524:360:592:0551
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2823:080:501:5582
Lars EllerWSH2622:470:532:2416
Tom WilsonWSH2822:220:481:5060
Alex OvechkinWSH2722:200:502:0272
Erik CernakTBL2622:110:512:1527
Mikhail SergachevTBL2721:590:491:5324
Anthony CirelliTBL3121:440:421:1856
Brayden PointTBL2521:210:512:0845
Nick JensenWSH2220:400:561:5915
Alex KillornTBL2720:220:451:5847
Dmitry OrlovWSH2318:400:492:0823
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2118:150:522:0232
Conor ShearyWSH2117:460:511:5251
Martin FehérváryWSH2216:340:451:2240
Steven StamkosTBL1816:320:551:3743
Anthony ManthaWSH2115:140:441:0640
Ondrej PalatTBL1914:590:471:3713
Justin SchultzWSH2114:070:401:3151
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2213:570:381:3236
Mathieu JosephTBL1813:490:461:1613
Corey PerryTBL1713:250:471:1711
Ross ColtonTBL1813:100:441:1712
Carl HagelinWSH1812:380:421:2214
Connor McMichaelWSH1312:100:561:4830
Patrick MaroonTBL1511:050:441:0612
Daniel SprongWSH1511:050:441:2630
Alex Barré-BouletTBL1310:400:491:3741
Cal FooteTBL119:360:521:3701
Garnet HathawayWSH179:250:331:1111
Andrej SustrTBL138:580:411:1302
Taylor RaddyshTBL117:320:411:0811
Brett LeasonWSH105:580:361:0711
Aliaksei ProtasWSH73:530:330:5210