Thu, Nov 4, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.
58%
8%
27%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:43 | 0.02 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:12 | 0.00 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:53 | 0.03 | 51.0% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:41 | 0.05 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.30 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.34 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.27 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.11 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.07 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:03 | 0.63 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.03 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.28 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.07 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.17 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.23 | 52.5% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:17 | 0.13 | 51.1% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.21 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:48 | 0.06 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.94 | +1.9 | 62:43 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:35 | 0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 25:27 | 0.45 | 22.3% | +96.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 24:25 | 0.21 | 36.8% | +96.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:32 | 0.84 | 34.0% | +48.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:28 | 0.31 | 47.9% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:26 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.15 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.27 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.06 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.08 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.20 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.19 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:45 | 0.35 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:25 | 0.16 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 8:13 | 0.66 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.97 | +2.0 | 61:19 |