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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 4, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Point–CirelliStamkos–Palat–Barré-BouletBellemare–Joseph–RaddyshPerry–Maroon–ColtonKillorn–Stamkos–PalatPoint–Joseph–CirelliMcDonagh–CernakHedman–RuttaHedman–SergachevSergachev–FooteCernak–SergachevMcDonagh–FooteSergachev–Rutta
Engvall–Kase–Kampf1:320.00–0.022:210.00–0.102:350.32–0.070:560.04–0.011:030.22–0.001:570.03–0.020:420.00–0.004:000.11–0.300:460.00–0.01
Tavares–Kerfoot–Marner2:210.01–0.082:390.00–0.081:570.00–0.221:150.00–0.004:230.01–0.301:100.00–0.020:340.00–0.07
Nylander–Bunting–Matthews3:090.07–0.271:110.06–0.000:580.00–0.041:140.08–0.004:590.14–0.261:040.15–0.000:400.15–0.00
Bunting–Marner–Matthews2:420.00–0.062:000.05–0.002:460.06–0.061:190.00–0.001:300.00–0.00
Spezza–Simmonds–Ritchie0:430.00–0.001:180.13–0.000:460.42–0.001:490.00–0.240:540.00–0.181:160.22–0.001:180.22–0.001:010.07–0.06
Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander0:580.07–0.001:080.08–0.000:520.00–0.002:120.15–0.000:520.00–0.00
Nylander–Marner–Matthews0:320.00–0.271:150.00–0.27
Tavares–Nylander–Ritchie0:480.04–0.00
Muzzin–Brodie2:570.12–0.153:420.20–0.153:050.39–0.043:030.07–0.070:430.00–0.274:540.25–0.465:330.18–0.212:340.06–0.001:590.07–0.210:370.07–0.000:540.00–0.06
Rielly–Dermott4:470.00–0.312:460.07–0.043:000.00–0.242:260.00–0.190:370.00–0.304:590.05–0.443:230.10–0.173:080.30–0.012:420.07–0.110:550.15–0.001:030.00–0.12
Liljegren–Sandin3:560.08–0.002:550.00–0.083:280.40–0.051:200.13–0.005:210.37–0.043:270.13–0.030:440.00–0.151:320.04–0.130:520.00–0.070:440.00–0.00
Rielly–Sandin0:410.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMatthews FBunting FNylander FEngvall FKampf FKase FMarner FKerfoot FTavares FSimmonds FSpezza FRitchie FDermott DRielly DMuzzin DBrodie DLiljegren DSandin DCampbell GKillorn FPoint FCirelli FJoseph FRaddysh FBellemare FPalat FStamkos FBarré-Boulet FPerry FMaroon FColton FMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DRutta DSergachev DFoote DVasilevskiy G
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3125:430:501:3882
Morgan RiellyTOR2925:350:531:5722
Mitch MarnerTOR2725:270:571:5765
Ryan McDonaghTBL2825:120:542:1226
Auston MatthewsTOR2724:250:541:4681
Erik CernakTBL2823:530:511:3116
Mikhail SergachevTBL2522:410:541:5111
John TavaresTOR2421:320:542:0051
William NylanderTOR2421:280:541:4971
Anthony CirelliTBL2821:080:451:1744
Jake MuzzinTOR2520:340:491:3224
TJ BrodieTOR2419:260:491:3215
Brayden PointTBL2619:150:441:0953
Alex KillornTBL2618:490:431:0963
Rasmus SandinTOR2318:020:471:3243
Michael BuntingTOR2317:560:471:1562
Travis DermottTOR2517:400:421:1622
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2216:270:451:1634
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2116:070:461:5933
Ondrej PalatTBL2316:040:421:0852
Steven StamkosTBL2216:030:441:4774
Jan RuttaTBL2015:460:471:2021
Alexander KerfootTOR1914:510:471:2833
Mathieu JosephTBL2014:260:431:0622
Alex Barré-BouletTBL1713:560:491:3642
David KampfTOR1712:400:451:1503
Ondrej KaseTOR1712:140:431:2103
Taylor RaddyshTBL1612:140:461:0721
Pierre EngvallTOR1911:590:380:5513
Jason SpezzaTOR1710:450:381:0330
Patrick MaroonTBL1710:350:371:1900
Corey PerryTBL1610:170:391:1700
Ross ColtonTBL179:520:351:2710
Cal FooteTBL149:480:421:3200
Nick RitchieTOR138:250:390:5630
Wayne SimmondsTOR128:130:411:0510