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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 14, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Calgary Flames 4, Ottawa Senators 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 67% of the time.

OTT winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gaudreau–Lindholm–TkachukRichardson–Lucic–DuehrColeman–Monahan–MangiapaneLewis–Backlund–DubeRichardson–Lewis–ColemanTanev–KylingtonHanifin–AnderssonGudbranson–ZadorovTanev–Zadorov
Norris–Tkachuk–Stützle2:140.00–0.101:510.04–0.011:370.06–0.011:340.03–0.041:490.11–0.002:090.16–0.003:360.04–0.123:010.03–0.05
Ennis–Tierney–Sokolov0:380.02–0.060:310.02–0.002:500.07–0.231:180.03–0.142:500.04–0.240:530.03–0.061:370.07–0.06
Shaw–Paul–Sanford3:080.05–0.120:420.00–0.010:360.06–0.002:490.10–0.041:410.00–0.09
Agozzino–Sabourin–Kelly0:410.01–0.172:000.04–0.001:010.00–0.000:590.03–0.001:250.01–0.00
Shaw–Paul–Kelly1:470.12–0.000:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.181:030.02–0.010:330.00–0.001:230.10–0.091:270.04–0.01
Sanford–Norris–Stützle0:520.00–0.001:100.00–0.00
Ennis–Agozzino–Sabourin1:050.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:360.07–0.00
Tierney–Sabourin–Sanford0:550.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Chabot–Thomson0:500.00–0.061:250.04–0.013:520.07–0.121:170.06–0.031:290.11–0.002:200.11–0.054:290.14–0.083:200.10–0.09
Del Zotto–Zub4:340.07–0.221:520.02–0.013:190.08–0.041:060.00–0.011:440.01–0.070:340.00–0.00
Heatherington–Zub3:180.12–0.280:580.05–0.000:440.06–0.001:180.06–0.021:540.07–0.293:430.17–0.100:540.02–0.00
Chabot–Bernard-Docker1:330.00–0.001:210.00–0.001:100.02–0.152:080.00–0.140:500.00–0.001:270.02–0.01
Heatherington–Bernard-Docker1:560.00–0.000:340.06–0.001:420.00–0.031:290.06–0.001:040.00–0.001:460.00–0.03
Del Zotto–Bernard-Docker1:300.02–0.000:330.00–0.000:480.00–0.050:370.00–0.001:460.00–0.051:300.02–0.00
Del Zotto–Thomson1:190.01–0.260:350.00–0.040:380.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FNorris FStützle FSanford FShaw FPaul FEnnis FTierney FSokolov FAgozzino FKelly FSabourin FThomson DChabot DZub DDel Zotto DBernard-Docker DHeatherington DForsberg GRichardson FLucic FDuehr FGaudreau FTkachuk FLindholm FMonahan FColeman FMangiapane FBacklund FLewis FDube FAndersson DHanifin DTanev DKylington DZadorov DGudbranson DVladar G
OTTCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2823:250:501:3946
Elias LindholmCGY2722:200:501:3657
Chris TanevCGY2822:160:481:5028
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2621:570:512:1471
Noah HanifinCGY2720:530:461:3441
Lassi ThomsonOTT2420:120:511:3924
Tim StützleOTT2419:520:501:4344
Michael Del ZottoOTT2819:450:421:2942
Brady TkachukOTT2419:440:491:3935
Josh NorrisOTT2419:150:481:3944
Artem ZubOTT2619:150:441:2735
Matthew TkachukCGY2118:250:531:4262
Johnny GaudreauCGY2117:360:501:3662
Oliver KylingtonCGY2617:340:411:4434
Dillon HeatheringtonOTT2316:340:431:2137
Nick PaulOTT2616:240:381:0935
Nikita ZadorovCGY2616:160:381:1645
Blake ColemanCGY2116:000:461:2240
Parker KellyOTT2515:470:381:1917
Tyler EnnisOTT2215:380:431:3655
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2115:130:431:1433
Erik GudbransonCGY2114:500:421:1024
Chris TierneyOTT2214:380:401:0933
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT1914:360:461:2925
Zachary SanfordOTT2014:350:441:1943
Logan ShawOTT2314:350:381:2118
Mikael BacklundCGY1914:030:441:2663
Trevor LewisCGY2013:520:421:1871
Sean MonahanCGY1713:400:482:2460
Brad RichardsonCGY2013:120:401:1824
Egor SokolovOTT1912:300:391:0941
Milan LucicCGY1711:570:421:0313
Dillon DubeCGY1711:090:391:1461
Scott SabourinOTT149:270:411:1912
Walker DuehrCGY148:470:381:0213
Andrew AgozzinoOTT106:520:411:2011