Sat, Nov 27, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 91% of the time.
87%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:38 | 0.18 | 29.2% | +41.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:36 | 0.05 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:21 | 0.10 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.01 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.04 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.09 | 43.9% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.05 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.03 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.03 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:02 | 0.26 | 53.6% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 34.4% | +41.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.07 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.15 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.16 | 11.2% | +41.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:12 | 0.02 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.02 | 56.0% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:38 | 0.08 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 4.19 | +1.2 | 60:11 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:31 | 0.10 | 67.2% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:23 | 0.38 | 73.1% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.03 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:05 | 0.07 | 73.7% | +23.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.36 | 78.0% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 19:42 | 1.19 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.04 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.03 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:20 | 0.53 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.07 | 72.2% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.20 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.46 | 81.5% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:09 | 0.10 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 74.5% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.14 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.39 | 76.2% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:47 | 0.08 | 77.5% | +23.4 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.34 | −0.7 | 60:26 |