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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 27, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 91% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Okposo–Murray–CozensSkinner–Olofsson–ThompsonEakin–Hinostroza–HaydenGirgensons–Bjork–AsplundEakin–Hinostroza–BjorkOkposo–Girgensons–CozensOlofsson–Asplund–ThompsonPysyk–DahlinJokiharju–BrysonMiller–HaggJokiharju–DahlinMiller–DahlinPysyk–HaggMiller–BrysonPysyk–Jokiharju
Bertuzzi–Larkin–Raymond2:410.00–0.003:570.47–0.030:300.00–0.003:030.71–0.180:430.03–0.000:540.00–0.123:310.15–0.123:530.73–0.153:330.14–0.010:580.03–0.00
Namestnikov–Erne–Rasmussen2:320.00–0.295:410.42–0.081:040.01–0.000:570.00–0.004:230.22–0.091:350.20–0.001:160.01–0.211:310.00–0.011:400.00–0.05
Gagner–Rowney–Zadina1:090.00–0.000:410.01–0.005:080.19–0.161:430.01–0.014:110.05–0.151:460.55–0.00
Fabbri–Smith–Suter1:210.28–0.002:110.12–0.042:420.09–0.041:030.37–0.001:120.00–0.003:200.12–0.081:120.00–0.00
Fabbri–Suter–Raymond0:400.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Leddy–Hronek4:110.00–0.085:010.34–0.042:040.00–0.112:260.34–0.030:410.04–0.000:510.00–0.125:230.33–0.123:110.36–0.083:130.13–0.102:470.00–0.051:130.00–0.021:190.04–0.000:350.00–0.00
Oesterle–Seider4:070.28–0.094:510.56–0.063:200.14–0.041:060.00–0.150:390.00–0.004:180.45–0.084:210.20–0.152:370.15–0.060:540.00–0.001:010.00–0.050:310.00–0.00
Staal–Lindstrom2:050.00–0.190:350.01–0.013:390.18–0.075:090.87–0.040:480.00–0.000:430.03–0.003:060.09–0.023:280.42–0.064:430.54–0.231:050.01–0.000:300.03–0.000:570.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRasmussen FErne FNamestnikov FRaymond FBertuzzi FLarkin FFabbri FSuter FSmith FZadina FRowney FGagner FSeider DOesterle DLeddy DHronek DStaal DLindstrom DNedeljkovic GOkposo FCozens FMurray FThompson FSkinner FOlofsson FGirgensons FAsplund FBjork FHinostroza FHayden FEakin FJokiharju DBryson DPysyk DDahlin DHagg DMiller DTokarski G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2823:380:511:2272
Filip HronekDET2723:310:521:2661
Henri JokiharjuBUF3122:360:441:2116
Dylan LarkinDET2422:230:561:3242
Nick LeddyDET2522:040:531:2651
Mark PysykBUF2621:210:491:2133
Moritz SeiderDET2521:050:511:4523
Lucas RaymondDET2219:540:541:3231
Tyler BertuzziDET2319:420:511:3241
Jacob BrysonBUF2818:430:401:2117
Colin MillerBUF2717:330:391:5845
Robert HaggBUF2317:250:451:5813
Marc StaalDET2016:590:511:4042
Kyle OkposoBUF2416:450:421:3251
Jordan OesterleDET2216:420:461:3312
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2316:380:431:2419
Robby FabbriDET1816:080:541:2460
Filip ZadinaDET1715:200:541:1731
Victor OlofssonBUF2215:170:421:2612
Gustav LindstromDET1915:150:481:1741
Adam ErneDET2015:080:451:4613
Tage ThompsonBUF2315:030:391:2612
Dylan CozensBUF1815:020:501:3250
Pius SuterDET1814:340:491:1662
Michael RasmussenDET2214:090:391:2312
Cody EakinBUF1814:050:472:0632
John HaydenBUF1813:510:461:1923
Anders BjorkBUF1713:330:481:1015
Jeff SkinnerBUF1913:230:421:2211
Rasmus AsplundBUF1713:120:471:2115
Brett MurrayBUF1812:500:431:0750
Sam GagnerDET1512:490:511:1422
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1612:380:471:2922
Vladislav NamestnikovDET1912:270:391:0913
Carter RowneyDET1512:210:491:1412
Givani SmithDET118:470:481:2050