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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 2, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

St. Louis Blues 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

O'Reilly–Schenn–KyrouTarasenko–Buchnevich–ThomasSaad–Sundqvist–BarbashevSchenn–Joshua–BrownSaad–Barbashev–BrownO'Reilly–Schenn–TarasenkoBarbashev–Joshua–BrownParayko–MikkolaBortuzzo–PerunovichScandella–KrugParayko–PerunovichBortuzzo–KrugParayko–WalmanKrug–MikkolaKrug–ParaykoScandella–ParaykoBortuzzo–ScandellaScandella–MikkolaBortuzzo–MikkolaKrug–Perunovich
Katchouk–Raddysh–Colton3:080.14–0.001:190.00–0.032:090.02–0.000:310.00–0.002:160.03–0.000:300.00–0.001:570.03–0.000:330.00–0.031:140.03–0.000:350.11–0.09
Perry–Maroon–Bellemare2:050.00–0.021:230.00–0.021:180.20–0.110:370.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:090.00–0.151:450.11–0.000:350.03–0.001:300.00–0.000:420.07–0.000:390.02–0.040:320.02–0.000:340.00–0.00
Killorn–Cirelli–Fortier3:240.02–0.082:290.12–0.000:350.15–0.001:260.00–0.000:570.14–0.001:120.15–0.000:400.00–0.110:410.00–0.00
Stamkos–Palat–Barré-Boulet0:570.00–0.001:360.00–0.001:130.04–0.000:540.04–0.040:440.03–0.001:040.04–0.000:380.05–0.000:520.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:430.04–0.00
Stamkos–Palat–Colton1:210.15–0.031:010.00–0.03
Killorn–Palat–Cirelli0:450.10–0.180:400.00–0.040:330.09–0.18
Bellemare–Katchouk–Raddysh
Stamkos–Palat–Fortier0:440.00–0.060:320.00–0.00
Hedman–Rutta2:260.25–0.003:290.00–0.172:250.20–0.160:460.09–0.000:360.26–0.043:150.16–0.152:170.16–0.030:310.03–0.040:450.15–0.031:570.05–0.000:300.00–0.080:580.03–0.000:330.11–0.001:030.02–0.00
Bogosian–Sergachev5:120.05–0.290:520.03–0.001:540.11–0.030:560.00–0.001:150.00–0.060:490.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:450.11–0.172:540.07–0.070:570.00–0.000:380.00–0.100:420.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:300.02–0.040:520.00–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak3:410.22–0.206:210.16–0.081:470.03–0.000:330.04–0.002:320.03–0.021:440.00–0.041:230.12–0.001:220.08–0.010:340.00–0.001:300.00–0.031:050.02–0.000:480.11–0.000:330.09–0.181:010.00–0.00
McDonagh–Bogosian0:340.00–0.000:340.08–0.00
Bogosian–Hedman0:450.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak0:350.45–0.000:330.45–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKatchouk FRaddysh FColton FBarré-Boulet FPalat FStamkos FKillorn FCirelli FFortier FPerry FMaroon FBellemare FBogosian DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DRutta DVasilevskiy GSaad FBarbashev FSundqvist FThomas FBuchnevich FTarasenko FSchenn FKyrou FO'Reilly FBrown FJoshua FScandella DParayko DKrug DMikkola DBortuzzo DPerunovich DWalman DHusso G
TBLSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Colton ParaykoSTL3423:030:411:3424
Robert ThomasSTL2622:520:531:4164
Ryan McDonaghTBL2622:420:521:4428
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2422:400:572:0642
Brayden SchennSTL2622:050:512:1843
Ryan O'ReillySTL2422:050:553:1137
Victor HedmanTBL2521:080:511:5764
Anthony CirelliTBL2620:550:481:3938
Erik CernakTBL2620:170:471:4418
Mikhail SergachevTBL2419:110:481:3312
Torey KrugSTL2818:540:412:0773
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2218:440:512:1834
Ivan BarbashevSTL2518:430:451:4162
Steven StamkosTBL2118:150:522:5132
Scott PerunovichSTL2317:550:471:4160
Brandon SaadSTL2317:260:451:4161
Jan RuttaTBL2117:230:501:5732
Ondrej PalatTBL2017:220:522:5120
Alex KillornTBL2217:110:471:2955
Zach BogosianTBL1916:330:521:2811
Jordan KyrouSTL2016:290:491:1432
Robert BortuzzoSTL2916:270:341:0427
Marco ScandellaSTL2416:130:411:2315
Niko MikkolaSTL2515:250:371:1704
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2215:230:421:4515
Ross ColtonTBL2114:580:431:3134
Corey PerryTBL1714:030:501:2812
Patrick MaroonTBL1713:300:481:3111
Taylor RaddyshTBL1913:260:421:1733
Boris KatchoukTBL1712:280:441:1722
Alex Barré-BouletTBL149:580:431:0700
Logan BrownSTL149:180:400:5520
Oskar SundqvistSTL159:050:361:0723
Gabriel FortierTBL149:000:391:0013
Dakota JoshuaSTL95:560:401:0111
Jake WalmanSTL85:290:411:1100