Thu, Dec 2, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Ottawa Senators 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 72% of the time.
66%
22%
CAR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk | Brown–Paul–Stützle | Watson–Sanford–Gambrell | Ennis–Tierney–Formenton | Chabot–Zaitsev | Holden–Zub | Mete–Thomson | Chabot–Zub | Holden–Zaitsev | Chabot–Mete | Thomson–Zub | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aho–Necas–Svechnikov | 1:310.15–0.05 | 4:270.09–0.25 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:370.34–1.03 | 6:080.22–0.34 | 2:090.12–0.97 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 0:370.09–0.00 | |||
| Staal–Teravainen–Lorentz | 5:200.76–0.46 | 0:490.00–0.26 | 0:570.13–0.00 | 5:220.89–0.10 | 1:150.00–0.51 | 0:520.00–0.26 | |||||
| Fast–Trocheck–Jarvis | 1:450.13–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:480.26–0.15 | 0:440.13–0.00 | 1:410.26–0.15 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||
| Staal–Fast–Lorentz | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:550.01–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.35 | 1:250.01–0.20 | |||||||
| Niederreiter–Martinook–Kotkaniemi | 1:360.11–0.00 | 1:050.37–0.12 | 1:430.08–0.05 | 0:470.11–0.12 | 0:380.28–0.00 | ||||||
| Niederreiter–Kotkaniemi–Jarvis | 1:250.00–0.02 | 0:310.01–0.12 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Trocheck–Teravainen–Jarvis | 1:120.13–0.00 | 1:050.13–0.00 | |||||||||
| Trocheck–Teravainen–Necas | 0:410.07–0.00 | 1:060.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Staal–Lorentz–Necas | 0:380.09–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:380.09–0.00 | ||||||||
| Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Niederreiter–Necas–Kotkaniemi | 0:410.08–0.00 | 0:460.08–0.00 | |||||||||
| Cole–Slavin | 9:180.64–0.43 | 2:030.15–0.00 | 1:510.04–0.00 | 9:170.77–0.50 | 3:300.03–0.48 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||
| Chatfield–Lajoie | 0:500.00–0.00 | 3:450.19–0.00 | 4:050.32–0.11 | 2:330.18–0.17 | 4:100.22–0.05 | 2:410.11–0.06 | |||||
| Smith–Skjei | 1:370.24–0.35 | 4:090.00–0.50 | 1:590.47–0.17 | 2:590.00–0.23 | 2:070.26–0.66 | 1:580.00–0.28 | 0:450.10–0.00 | 0:370.28–0.00 | |||
| Skjei–Chatfield | 1:160.02–0.01 | 1:140.13–0.00 | 0:510.33–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:400.03–0.00 | 0:410.13–0.01 | 0:300.33–0.00 | ||||
| Skjei–Slavin | 0:450.00–0.07 | 0:480.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Skjei–Lajoie | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Smith–Lajoie | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CAROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 28 | 29:30 | 1:03 | 3:27 | 7 | 5 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 31 | 29:03 | 0:56 | 1:55 | 3 | 4 |
 Nikita ZaitsevOTT | 29 | 26:38 | 0:55 | 1:40 | 2 | 8 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 24 | 23:00 | 0:58 | 1:51 | 7 | 2 |
 Nick HoldenOTT | 29 | 21:56 | 0:45 | 2:04 | 0 | 9 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 24 | 20:55 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 5 | 3 |
 Ian ColeCAR | 25 | 20:35 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 3 | 6 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 24 | 20:26 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 10 | 1 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 25 | 19:54 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 23 | 19:22 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 21 | 19:09 | 0:55 | 1:54 | 6 | 2 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 24 | 18:52 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Connor BrownOTT | 22 | 18:40 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 2 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 21 | 18:33 | 0:53 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 22 | 18:18 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 18:12 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 5 | 4 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 23 | 16:49 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 25 | 16:37 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Steven LorentzCAR | 21 | 16:27 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 5 | 2 |
 Vincent TrocheckCAR | 18 | 15:52 | 0:53 | 1:28 | 9 | 0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 21 | 15:07 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 5 | 2 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 18 | 15:05 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 |
 Maxime LajoieCAR | 20 | 14:54 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 6 | 0 |
 Brendan SmithCAR | 19 | 12:45 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 2 | 0 |
 Zachary SanfordOTT | 20 | 12:44 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 0 | 4 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 16 | 12:33 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 4 | 0 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 19 | 12:18 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 5 | 2 |
 Nino NiederreiterCAR | 13 | 10:50 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 20 | 10:37 | 0:32 | 1:09 | 1 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisOTT | 13 | 10:19 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 Lassi ThomsonOTT | 15 | 9:58 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex FormentonOTT | 14 | 9:41 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 0 | 4 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 14 | 9:31 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 12 | 9:13 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Victor MeteOTT | 14 | 8:18 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 6 | 4:23 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 1 | 0 |