Tue, Dec 14, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Edmonton Oilers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
38%
8%
8%
45%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:52 | 0.20 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:05 | 0.00 | 24.5% | +8.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:03 | 0.13 | 72.4% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.59 | 45.6% | +16.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.71 | 48.4% | +16.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.19 | 70.0% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.22 | 60.9% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.18 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.29 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.62 | 66.1% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.07 | 56.1% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.36 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.21 | 31.3% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:07 | 0.00 | 37.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:10 | 0.23 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 35 | 1 | .972 | 3.79 | +2.8 | 60:00 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:53 | 0.09 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23:47 | 0.54 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 23:34 | 0.15 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:14 | 0.33 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:25 | 0.16 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.19 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.04 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:14 | 0.60 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.05 | 43.7% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 0.61 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.18 | 53.2% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.07 | 52.0% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:44 | 0.40 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.04 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:01 | 0.10 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:29 | 0.11 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 8:13 | 0.13 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 4.00 | −1.0 | 59:23 |